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Mountain West

2025 · through CFP Finals

Mountain West Fanboard →

Mountain West was the 7th-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Boise State led the conference, ranked 46th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Boise State5745119-57-27.0
New Mexico694839-46-26.0
San Diego State4951109-46-26.0
UNLV67501210-46-36.0
Fresno State915689-45-35.0
Hawai'i845599-45-35.0
Utah State778646-74-44.0
Air Force9311664-83-53.0
Nevada12312223-92-62.0
San José State11512353-92-62.0
Wyoming10411074-82-62.0
Colorado State12013012-101-71.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Boise StateNew MexicoSan Diego StateUNLVFresno StateHawai'iUtah StateAir ForceNevadaSan José StateWyomingColorado State
Boise StateL 25-41W 17-7L 21-38W 30-7·L 24-25L 37-49L 3-24··L 21-49
New MexicoW 41-25L 17-23L 35-40··L 14-33L 3-20L 22-24W 35-28·L 17-20
San Diego StateL 7-17W 23-17·L 0-23W 38-6··L 10-44L 3-25L 7-24L 24-45
UNLVW 38-21W 40-35··L 10-38L 26-29L 48-51L 17-42·L 17-31L 10-42
Fresno StateL 7-30·W 23-0·L 21-23W 28-17·L 17-20L 14-41L 3-24W 49-21
Hawai'i··L 6-38W 38-10W 23-21L 26-44L 35-44·W 45-38L 7-27L 19-31
Utah StateW 25-24W 33-14·W 29-26L 17-28W 44-26L 30-49L 14-51L 25-30··
Air ForceW 49-37W 20-3·W 51-48·W 44-35W 49-30·L 16-26L 21-24L 21-42
NevadaW 24-3W 24-22W 44-10W 42-17W 20-17·W 51-14·L 10-55L 7-13·
San José State·L 28-35W 25-3·W 41-14L 38-45W 30-25W 26-16W 55-10W 35-28·
Wyoming··W 24-7W 31-17W 24-3W 27-7·W 24-21W 13-7L 28-35L 0-28
Colorado StateW 49-21W 20-17W 45-24W 42-10L 21-49W 31-19·W 42-21··W 28-0
Exp. wins for a #25 team7.56.66.97.56.86.86.76.76.56.76.86.4
Conf. sched. difficulty rank11th3rd10th12th8th9th4th6th2nd5th7th1st
Projected conf. wins7.06.06.06.05.05.04.03.02.02.02.01.0
Conference record7-26-26-26-35-35-34-43-52-62-62-61-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Boise State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
New Mexico0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
San Diego State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
UNLV0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Fresno State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Hawai'i0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Utah State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Air Force0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Nevada0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
San José State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Wyoming0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Colorado State0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Boise State59616514805057
New Mexico79907578365669
San Diego State114558918532149
UNLV37293010612911467
Fresno State8011010144917791
Hawai'i6411971921039884
Utah State937479461138177
Air Force9694213513713393
Nevada13312112779119106123
San José State84629710476122115
Wyoming128132136526948104
Colorado State100117114114118128120

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
Boise StateNew Mexico

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Boise State0-30-11-08-19-5
New Mexico0-10-13-16-19-4
San Diego State0-10-11-28-09-4
UNLV0-00-21-09-210-4
Fresno State0-01-11-17-29-4
Hawai'i0-10-01-18-29-4
Utah State0-20-00-56-06-7
Air Force0-00-10-44-34-8
Nevada0-10-00-53-33-9
San José State0-10-10-23-53-9
Wyoming0-10-10-24-44-8
Colorado State0-10-20-22-52-10

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
Boise State-9.810.07.712.66.620.124.15.4-28.7-3.66.21.513.9
New Mexico-1.44.623.8-0.6-22.6-16.6-14.515.26.7-16.419.33.1
San Diego State8.0-12.626.3-11.812.224.722.40.6-32.312.14.51.6
UNLV-6.5-6.03.33.010.3-9.0-20.5-6.815.0-5.221.422.5-10.3
Fresno State-24.39.2-11.6-10.20.1-17.9-37.6-23.925.95.5-16.58.3
Hawai'i-6.6-14.4-13.2-17.0-11.15.18.9-2.3-18.732.6-26.06.4
Utah State-12.2-7.19.32.4-3.2-16.4-13.4-18.222.72.37.2-0.8
Air Force-0.5-19.1-10.9-16.53.32.1-11.4-3.2-1.0-12.7-26.213.7
Nevada-21.9-9.3-23.8-16.2-5.8-44.9-2.9-19.1-46.226.1-1.6-42.5
San José State-13.7-7.7-14.2-4.87.9-16.3-4.1-0.5-20.5-58.1-14.2-29.3
Wyoming-5.7-7.1-3.9-19.9-21.6-9.6-6.818.4-7.0-23.2-27.0-22.3
Colorado State1.2-19.7-0.4-16.6-23.614.9-18.6-46.1-31.30.0-18.9-36.9