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Mississippi State17atKentucky27

2022 · Week 7

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-9-4.50+4.5+9Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: +6.7+6.7Kentucky — Off. field pos.: +1.6+1.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: -7.8-7.8Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: +5.3+5.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -1.6-1.6Kentucky — Def. field pos.: -6.7-6.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: -5.3-5.3Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: +7.8+7.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Possessions: -2.0-2.0Kentucky — Possessions: +2.0+2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Mississippi StateKentuckyBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01530Q1Q2Q3FinalMississippi State 17Kentucky 27
Mississippi StateKentuckyhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Mississippi StateKentucky
Total yards225478
Rushing yards22239
Rushing attempts1048
Yds / rush2.25.0
Passing yards203239
Passing attempts3725
Yds / pass5.59.6
First downs1324
Turnovers12
Penalties1311
Penalty yards10984
Sacks11
Time of possession20:3839:22

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(7)86% / 14%14%1.0
Q2(21)71% / 29%38%4.0
Q3(13)85% / 15%54%9.1
Q4(6)100% / 0%0%2.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 12th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.647%7.2
2nd(11)8.727%5.4
3rd(10)10.130%2.8
4th(2)4.550%0.5
All (38)37%5.2
Rushing by down(offense 68th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)10.033%3.8
2nd(2)8.00%2.0
3rd(1)1.00%0.0
All (9)22%3.0
Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)35% / 65%35%4.0
Q2(14)43% / 57%64%5.8
Q3(16)38% / 63%50%9.2
Q4(23)26% / 74%43%7.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 73rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(3)10.067%7.3
2nd(11)9.79%2.3
3rd(9)10.044%18.7
4th(2)2.5100%3.0
All (25)36%9.1
Rushing by down(offense 61st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(27)10.044%6.3
2nd(13)5.762%5.0
3rd(5)1.440%1.0
4th(3)1.0100%6.0
All (48)52%5.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 21 → Turnover4Drive 4: own 17 → Punt6Drive 6: own 25 → Missed FG8Drive 8: own 45 → FG10Drive 10: own 25 → FG12Drive 12: own 24 → TD14Drive 14: own 20 → TD16Drive 16: opp 45 → Def. TD17Drive 17: own 25 → TD19Drive 19: opp 32 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Kentucky drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 21Q1 12:581337Turnover1.70-1.7
4own 17Q1 6:011443Punt1.60-1.6
6own 25Q2 8:061242Missed FG1.90-1.9
8own 45Q2 0:341039FG2.63+0.4
10own 25Q3 14:52856FG1.93+1.1
12own 24Q3 8:09876TD1.87+5.2
14own 20Q3 0:001071TD1.77+5.3
16opp 45Q4 10:07467Def. TD(−7 opp)3.00-3.0
17own 25Q4 8:25575TD1.97+5.1
19opp 32Q4 3:511030End of half3.60-3.6
10 drives7447821.727+5.3

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.