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North Carolina31atVirginia28

2022 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10.8-5.40+5.4+10.8North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +2.9+2.9Virginia — Off. field pos.: -1.5-1.5Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: +6.0+6.0Virginia — Off. scoring eff.: +9.4+9.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: +1.5+1.5Virginia — Def. field pos.: -2.9-2.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: -9.4-9.4Virginia — Def. scoring eff.: -6.0-6.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: +2.0+2.0Virginia — Possessions: -2.0-2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaVirginiaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01734Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 31Virginia 28
North CarolinaVirginiahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaVirginia
Total yards455418
Rushing yards162186
Rushing attempts4039
Yds / rush4.04.8
Passing yards293232
Passing attempts3735
Yds / pass7.96.6
First downs2925
Turnovers01
Penalties58
Penalty yards4547
Sacks14
Time of possession33:3826:22

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)56% / 44%50%5.8
Q2(18)67% / 33%56%5.7
Q3(22)55% / 45%64%8.8
Q4(21)38% / 62%33%3.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 17th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.653%6.0
2nd(11)7.445%6.7
3rd(11)7.164%7.6
All (41)—54%6.6
Rushing by down(offense 26th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)8.647%6.5
2nd(13)5.554%5.2
3rd(3)2.70%1.0
4th(3)1.767%2.0
All (36)—47%5.2
Virginia
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)45% / 55%60%7.1
Q2(24)38% / 63%50%4.5
Q3(15)53% / 47%47%5.9
Q4(15)67% / 33%33%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 105th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.332%4.7
2nd(10)9.060%10.9
3rd(7)8.957%7.6
All (36)—44%6.9
Rushing by down(offense 102nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)8.669%5.7
2nd(15)7.133%4.3
3rd(6)5.550%6.0
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (38)—53%5.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 35 → TD3Drive 3: own 25 → Turnover5Drive 5: own 20 → Punt7Drive 7: own 25 → TD9Drive 9: own 11 → Punt12Drive 12: own 25 → TD14Drive 14: own 35 → Punt16Drive 16: own 8 → Punt18Drive 18: own 20 → Punt20Drive 20: own 29 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Virginia drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 35Q1 14:30965TD2.37+4.7
3own 25Q1 6:28741Turnover1.90-1.9
5own 20Q1 1:301248Punt1.70-1.7
7own 25Q2 6:411470TD1.97+5.1
9own 11Q2 1:10919Punt1.50-1.5
12own 25Q3 11:501175TD1.97+5.1
14own 35Q3 4:00613Punt2.30-2.3
16own 8Q4 12:30614Punt1.40-1.4
18own 20Q4 7:20817Punt1.70-1.7
20own 29Q4 4:10771TD2.17+4.9
10 drives7841818.628+9.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.