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North Carolina36atWake Forest34

2022 · Week 11

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-12.2-6.10+6.1+12.2North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +2.0+2.0Wake Forest — Off. field pos.: -0.7-0.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: +9.9+9.9Wake Forest — Off. scoring eff.: +10.6+10.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: +0.7+0.7Wake Forest — Def. field pos.: -2.0-2.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: -10.6-10.6Wake Forest — Def. scoring eff.: -9.9-9.9Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: 0.00.0Wake Forest — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaWake ForestBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02040Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 36Wake Forest 34
North CarolinaWake Foresthover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaWake Forest
Total yards584490
Rushing yards136170
Rushing attempts3841
Yds / rush3.64.1
Passing yards448320
Passing attempts4931
Yds / pass9.110.3
First downs3022
Turnovers01
Penalties87
Penalty yards7856
Sacks13
Time of possession33:0226:58

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(22)64% / 36%68%10.0
Q2(19)68% / 32%47%4.8
Q3(30)63% / 37%57%6.7
Q4(15)40% / 60%33%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 17th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)9.355%7.3
2nd(20)9.355%10.5
3rd(7)7.957%6.0
4th(3)1.70%0.0
All (52)—52%7.9
Rushing by down(offense 26th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.747%5.4
2nd(8)5.463%7.5
3rd(9)3.467%2.4
All (34)—56%5.1
Wake Forest
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%61%6.7
Q2(22)55% / 45%41%4.8
Q3(12)42% / 58%67%12.4
Q4(18)39% / 61%28%6.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 9th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.150%7.8
2nd(10)9.040%10.2
3rd(7)7.129%7.0
4th(3)5.767%20.7
All (32)—44%9.6
Rushing by down(offense 72nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.656%5.7
2nd(13)5.646%3.3
3rd(5)6.220%4.2
4th(2)1.0100%5.5
All (38)—50%4.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → Punt5Drive 5: own 22 → TD7Drive 7: own 25 → TD9Drive 9: opp 36 → TD11Drive 11: own 25 → Punt13Drive 13: own 5 → End of half15Drive 15: own 27 → TD17Drive 17: own 28 → TD19Drive 19: own 1 → —21Drive 21: own 46 → Turnover23Drive 23: own 25 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Wake Forest drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:00735Punt1.90-1.9
3own 25Q1 9:1757Punt1.90-1.9
5own 22Q1 7:071178TD1.77+5.3
7own 25Q2 13:231475TD1.97+5.1
9opp 36Q2 5:55536TD3.67+3.4
11own 25Q2 2:225-14Punt1.90-1.9
13own 5Q2 1:0139End of half1.30-1.3
15own 27Q3 11:47977TD2.07+5.0
17own 28Q3 5:20472TD2.06+4.0
19own 1Q4 14:201299—0.70-0.7
21own 46Q4 5:4762Turnover2.70-2.7
23own 25Q4 2:1268Downs1.90-1.9
12 drives7549023.434+10.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.