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Baylor15atAir Force30

2022 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-9.8-4.90+4.9+9.8Baylor — Off. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Air Force — Off. field pos.: +2.8+2.8Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Baylor — Off. scoring eff.: -8.5-8.5Air Force — Off. scoring eff.: +5.1+5.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Baylor — Def. field pos.: -2.8-2.8Air Force — Def. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Baylor — Def. scoring eff.: -5.1-5.1Air Force — Def. scoring eff.: +8.5+8.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Baylor — Possessions: 0.00.0Air Force — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BaylorAir ForceBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01733Q1Q2Q3FinalBaylor 15Air Force 30
BaylorAir Forcehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BaylorAir Force
Total yards230379
Rushing yards42276
Rushing attempts2667
Yds / rush1.64.1
Passing yards188103
Passing attempts237
Yds / pass8.214.7
First downs1120
Turnovers00
Penalties52
Penalty yards2620
Sacks—2
Time of possession19:5640:04

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Baylor
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(8)38% / 63%25%3.6
Q2(16)56% / 44%38%5.2
Q3(15)33% / 67%7%0.9
Q4(10)80% / 20%40%10.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 66th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.950%10.6
2nd(3)11.367%9.3
3rd(6)8.50%1.0
4th(2)5.50%-3.5
All (25)—36%7.0
Rushing by down(offense 23rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)12.517%3.7
2nd(9)8.80%0.8
3rd(5)6.40%2.6
4th(4)2.575%3.3
All (24)—17%2.3
Air Force
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)16% / 84%37%5.2
Q2(15)7% / 93%40%2.6
Q3(17)18% / 82%59%9.7
Q4(23)0% / 100%30%3.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 87th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(3)10.067%27.7
3rd(3)7.733%4.0
4th(1)5.0100%8.0
All (7)—57%14.7
Rushing by down(offense 22nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(27)9.233%4.4
2nd(23)6.539%4.1
3rd(13)4.854%5.1
4th(4)1.325%-0.5
All (67)—39%4.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 45 → TD4Drive 4: own 42 → FG6Drive 6: own 7 → Punt8Drive 8: own 20 → Downs10Drive 10: own 25 → End of half11Drive 11: own 17 → TD13Drive 13: own 27 → Punt15Drive 15: own 36 → TD17Drive 17: opp 42 → TD19Drive 19: opp 47 → Downs21Drive 21: opp 49 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Air Force drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 45Q1 13:461660TD2.66+3.4
4own 42Q1 3:09538FG2.53+0.5
6own 7Q2 12:13513Punt1.40-1.4
8own 20Q2 7:561027Downs1.70-1.7
10own 25Q2 0:002-1End of half1.90-1.9
11own 17Q3 14:32583TD1.67+5.4
13own 27Q3 8:5246Punt2.00-2.0
15own 36Q3 5:43764TD2.47+4.6
17opp 42Q3 0:44937TD3.27+3.8
19opp 47Q4 10:411032Downs2.80-2.8
21opp 49Q4 3:261320Downs2.80-2.8
11 drives7637924.930+5.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.