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Toledo28atIllinois30

2023 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10-50+5+10Toledo — Off. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Illinois — Off. field pos.: +6.3+6.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +8.7+8.7Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +5.1+5.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: -6.3-6.3Illinois — Def. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: -5.1-5.1Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -8.7-8.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Illinois — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoIllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01733Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 28Illinois 30
ToledoIllinoishover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoIllinois
Total yards416374
Rushing yards186168
Rushing attempts4235
Yds / rush4.44.8
Passing yards230206
Passing attempts3726
Yds / pass6.27.9
First downs2721
Turnovers11
Penalties710
Penalty yards40100
Sacks21
Time of possession32:5727:03

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%63%5.7
Q2(31)39% / 61%35%5.6
Q3(19)53% / 47%47%5.3
Q4(14)57% / 43%50%7.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)11.050%10.2
2nd(18)6.239%4.8
3rd(8)6.825%3.4
4th(1)2.0100%15.0
All (37)—41%6.3
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)9.748%5.7
2nd(8)8.138%3.3
3rd(10)7.460%7.3
4th(2)1.0100%6.0
All (43)—51%5.6
Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)46% / 54%69%8.5
Q2(11)27% / 73%36%7.1
Q3(15)47% / 53%80%6.7
Q4(22)55% / 45%41%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 16th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.564%8.0
2nd(11)8.845%5.8
3rd(4)6.825%2.3
4th(2)3.5100%28.5
All (28)—54%7.8
Rushing by down(offense 49th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.856%6.2
2nd(11)4.873%5.3
3rd(5)6.040%5.6
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (33)—58%5.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 15 → Punt5Drive 5: own 5 → Punt7Drive 7: own 26 → Downs10Drive 10: own 30 → Turnover13Drive 13: own 45 → TD15Drive 15: own 37 → TD17Drive 17: own 19 → Punt19Drive 19: own 25 → FGown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:001192TD1.97+5.1
3own 15Q1 5:04619Punt1.60-1.6
5own 5Q2 12:31531Punt1.20-1.2
7own 26Q2 4:33747Downs2.00-2.0
10own 30Q3 11:18327Turnover2.20-2.2
13own 45Q3 6:221155TD2.86+3.2
15own 37Q3 0:00863TD2.47+4.6
17own 19Q4 9:2763Punt1.70-1.7
19own 25Q4 2:551666FG1.93+1.1
9 drives6237417.930+12.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Toledo at Illinois — 2023 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ