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Northwestern14atDuke38

2023 · Week 3

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-19.9-9.90+9.9+19.9Northwestern — Off. field pos.: +0.0+0.0Duke — Off. field pos.: +0.0+0.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Off. scoring eff.: -4.6-4.6Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +17.3+17.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Def. field pos.: -0.0-0.0Duke — Def. field pos.: -0.0-0.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Def. scoring eff.: -17.3-17.3Duke — Def. scoring eff.: +4.6+4.6Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Duke — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
NorthwesternDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthwestern 14Duke 38
NorthwesternDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

NorthwesternDuke
Total yards267487
Rushing yards104268
Rushing attempts3040
Yds / rush3.56.7
Passing yards163219
Passing attempts4020
Yds / pass4.110.9
First downs1925
Turnovers10
Penalties11
Penalty yards815
Sacks22
Time of possession28:5431:06

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northwestern
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)50% / 50%21%1.9
Q2(18)33% / 67%61%4.4
Q3(14)93% / 7%29%5.1
Q4(23)65% / 35%52%3.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 80th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.044%5.3
2nd(12)6.742%3.0
3rd(10)7.330%2.3
4th(3)6.033%3.0
All (41)—39%3.7
Rushing by down(offense 86th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.050%4.7
2nd(11)6.027%3.5
3rd(7)1.786%4.3
All (28)—50%4.1
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)35% / 65%71%9.8
Q2(12)50% / 50%33%6.0
Q3(20)45% / 55%70%7.7
Q4(10)0% / 100%50%7.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 49th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.050%8.9
2nd(6)7.767%9.7
3rd(3)6.367%8.3
All (21)—57%9.0
Rushing by down(offense 43rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)9.171%10.5
2nd(10)5.950%3.6
3rd(6)4.250%3.7
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (38)—61%7.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 44 → TD4Drive 4: own 35 → Downs6Drive 6: own 11 → TD8Drive 8: own 27 → FG10Drive 10: own 26 → End of half11Drive 11: own 20 → TD13Drive 13: own 6 → TD15Drive 15: own 9 → Punt17Drive 17: opp 26 → TD19Drive 19: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 44Q1 13:42656TD2.87+4.2
4own 35Q1 9:15522Downs2.30-2.3
6own 11Q1 3:31989TD1.57+5.5
8own 27Q2 12:56856FG2.13+0.9
10own 26Q2 0:34615End of half2.00-2.0
11own 20Q3 14:56960TD1.77+5.3
13own 6Q3 8:351294TD1.37+5.7
15own 9Q4 14:47719Punt1.40-1.4
17opp 26Q4 8:52426TD3.67+3.4
19own 25Q4 1:27332End of half1.90-1.9
10 drives6248720.738+17.3

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.