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Penn State41atNorthwestern13

2023 · Week 5

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-17.1-8.60+8.6+17.1Penn State — Off. field pos.: +6.4+6.4Northwestern — Off. field pos.: +1.0+1.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Off. scoring eff.: +9.7+9.7Northwestern — Off. scoring eff.: -14.9-14.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Def. field pos.: -1.0-1.0Northwestern — Def. field pos.: -6.4-6.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Def. scoring eff.: +14.9+14.9Northwestern — Def. scoring eff.: -9.7-9.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Northwestern — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Penn StateNorthwesternBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02345Q1Q2Q3FinalPenn State 41Northwestern 13
Penn StateNorthwesternhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Penn StateNorthwestern
Total yards353175
Rushing yards13445
Rushing attempts3932
Yds / rush3.41.4
Passing yards219130
Passing attempts3431
Yds / pass6.44.2
First downs1912
Turnovers11
Penalties64
Penalty yards4518
Sacks71
Time of possession32:0827:52

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Penn State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%56%4.7
Q2(17)59% / 41%41%4.5
Q3(21)38% / 62%33%4.4
Q4(16)63% / 38%50%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 42nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.838%6.2
2nd(10)8.440%3.8
3rd(11)7.636%6.9
4th(1)6.0100%15.0
All (35)—40%6.0
Rushing by down(offense 25th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)8.850%4.6
2nd(13)5.238%3.3
3rd(5)2.660%2.4
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (35)—49%3.7
Northwestern
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)60% / 40%20%1.3
Q2(18)56% / 44%39%2.6
Q3(15)67% / 33%13%3.7
Q4(20)60% / 40%35%3.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 80th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.419%0.1
2nd(13)11.231%5.5
3rd(9)8.722%1.2
All (38)—24%2.2
Rushing by down(offense 86th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)8.450%2.4
2nd(8)7.625%1.8
3rd(7)11.043%8.0
4th(2)2.50%1.5
All (25)—36%3.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: opp 11 → FG3Drive 3: own 19 → Punt5Drive 5: own 35 → Punt7Drive 7: own 41 → TD9Drive 9: own 22 → Punt11Drive 11: own 25 → Punt13Drive 13: own 25 → Punt15Drive 15: own 17 → Downs17Drive 17: own 25 → —19Drive 19: own 25 → FG21Drive 21: own 16 → Punt23Drive 23: own 25 → Turnover25Drive 25: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northwestern drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1opp 11Q1 14:5361FG4.53-1.5
3own 19Q1 9:494-3Punt1.70-1.7
5own 35Q1 2:30914Punt2.30-2.3
7own 41Q2 11:021154TD2.67+4.4
9own 22Q2 5:074-3Punt1.80-1.8
11own 25Q2 1:086-4Punt1.90-1.9
13own 25Q3 14:5541Punt1.90-1.9
15own 17Q3 8:35514Downs1.70-1.7
17own 25Q3 6:0349—1.90-1.9
19own 25Q3 1:241250FG1.93+1.1
21own 16Q4 10:2852Punt1.70-1.7
23own 25Q4 4:07718Turnover1.90-1.9
25own 25Q4 2:20722End of half1.90-1.9
13 drives6417527.913-14.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.