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Missouri38atKentucky21

2023 · Week 7

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-6.8-3.40+3.4+6.8Missouri — Off. field pos.: +5.9+5.9Kentucky — Off. field pos.: +1.0+1.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri — Off. scoring eff.: +5.2+5.2Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: -4.8-4.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri — Def. field pos.: -1.0-1.0Kentucky — Def. field pos.: -5.9-5.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri — Def. scoring eff.: +4.8+4.8Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: -5.2-5.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Missouri — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Kentucky — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
MissouriKentuckyBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalMissouri 38Kentucky 21
MissouriKentuckyhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

MissouriKentucky
Total yards324299
Rushing yards118179
Rushing attempts3831
Yds / rush3.15.8
Passing yards206120
Passing attempts3027
Yds / pass6.94.4
First downs1919
Turnovers13
Penalties614
Penalty yards65122
Sacks41
Time of possession31:0728:53

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Missouri
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)50% / 50%30%1.6
Q2(24)63% / 38%58%7.0
Q3(17)53% / 47%41%5.6
Q4(15)7% / 93%20%3.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 27th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.071%6.8
2nd(10)5.950%5.1
3rd(5)6.240%3.6
4th(1)10.0100%39.0
All (30)60%6.8
Rushing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.57%1.9
2nd(13)7.331%5.5
3rd(8)4.850%3.4
All (36)25%3.6
Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)45% / 55%65%7.3
Q2(9)44% / 56%33%1.9
Q3(9)67% / 33%33%5.2
Q4(16)69% / 31%25%3.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 52nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.342%7.2
2nd(8)8.313%-1.5
3rd(9)11.122%-0.9
4th(1)7.00%4.0
All (30)27%2.3
Rushing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.575%9.8
2nd(6)7.217%2.7
3rd(2)3.5100%9.5
All (24)63%8.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 35 → TD4Drive 4: own 48 → TD6Drive 6: own 26 → Punt8Drive 8: own 23 → Punt10Drive 10: own 25 → —12Drive 12: own 31 → —15Drive 15: own 20 → Punt17Drive 17: own 24 → TD19Drive 19: own 25 → Punt21Drive 21: own 44 → Turnover23Drive 23: own 23 → Turnover25Drive 25: own 42 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Kentucky drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 35Q1 13:18970TD2.37+4.7
4own 48Q1 7:071173TD2.87+4.2
6own 26Q1 0:5852Punt2.00-2.0
8own 23Q2 11:3356Punt1.80-1.8
10own 25Q2 4:44731.90-1.9
12own 31Q2 0:00182.20-2.2
15own 20Q3 11:0660Punt1.70-1.7
17own 24Q3 6:58847TD1.97+5.1
19own 25Q4 14:144-7Punt1.90-1.9
21own 44Q4 10:59626Turnover2.80-2.8
23own 23Q4 5:083-22Turnover1.80-1.8
25own 42Q4 3:10855Downs2.70-2.7
12 drives5929925.821-4.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.