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Kentucky24atMississippi State3

2023 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-22.1-11.10+11.1+22.1Kentucky — Off. field pos.: +8.9+8.9Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -2.6-2.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: -5.6-5.6Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: -19.3-19.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Kentucky — Def. field pos.: +2.6+2.6Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -8.9-8.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: +19.3+19.3Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: +5.6+5.6Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Kentucky — Possessions: -4.1-4.1Mississippi State — Possessions: +4.1+4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
KentuckyMississippi StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01326Q1Q2Q3FinalKentucky 24Mississippi State 3
KentuckyMississippi Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

KentuckyMississippi State
Total yards271218
Rushing yards11073
Rushing attempts2931
Yds / rush3.82.4
Passing yards161145
Passing attempts2535
Yds / pass6.44.1
First downs1315
Turnovers01
Penalties69
Penalty yards4568
Sacks51
Time of possession30:3829:22

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)75% / 25%42%6.7
Q2(13)38% / 62%46%6.1
Q3(16)56% / 44%38%5.3
Q4(12)25% / 75%17%1.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 52nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)8.744%7.1
2nd(10)9.140%4.9
3rd(6)5.850%7.2
4th(1)6.00%0.0
All (26)—42%6.0
Rushing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.523%2.5
2nd(8)7.850%7.6
3rd(6)7.817%2.8
All (27)—30%4.1
Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)38% / 63%44%3.2
Q2(20)65% / 35%40%3.9
Q3(9)56% / 44%33%3.1
Q4(18)78% / 22%22%3.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 111th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.038%4.7
2nd(12)9.917%2.2
3rd(10)11.520%2.1
4th(3)8.033%2.3
All (38)—26%3.0
Rushing by down(offense 110th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.350%5.1
2nd(7)6.043%2.3
3rd(6)6.250%5.3
All (25)—48%4.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 30 → Punt5Drive 5: own 5 → FG7Drive 7: own 23 → Def. TD8Drive 8: own 25 → Punt10Drive 10: own 20 → End of half12Drive 12: own 23 → Punt14Drive 14: own 10 → Punt16Drive 16: own 10 → Punt18Drive 18: own 36 → Downs20Drive 20: own 46 → Punt22Drive 22: own 13 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Mississippi State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:0042Punt1.90-1.9
3own 30Q1 10:044-1Punt2.20-2.2
5own 5Q1 6:202388FG1.23+1.8
7own 23Q2 6:35128Def. TD(−7 opp)1.80-1.8
8own 25Q2 6:354-2Punt1.90-1.9
10own 20Q2 0:461038End of half1.70-1.7
12own 23Q3 13:31620Punt1.80-1.8
14own 10Q3 5:4541Punt1.50-1.5
16own 10Q3 0:0057Punt1.50-1.5
18own 36Q4 11:081564Downs2.40-2.4
20own 46Q4 3:525-10Punt2.80-2.8
22own 13Q4 0:39212End of half1.60-1.6
12 drives6721822.33-19.3

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.