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Ole Miss17atMississippi State7

2023 · Week 13

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-17.3-8.70+8.7+17.3Ole Miss — Off. field pos.: +0.8+0.8Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -2.7-2.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Off. scoring eff.: -10.6-10.6Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: -15.1-15.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Def. field pos.: +2.7+2.7Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -0.8-0.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Def. scoring eff.: +15.1+15.1Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: +10.6+10.6Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Mississippi State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Ole MissMississippi StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01019Q1Q2Q3FinalOle Miss 17Mississippi State 7
Ole MissMississippi Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Ole MissMississippi State
Total yards307303
Rushing yards21196
Rushing attempts4928
Yds / rush4.33.4
Passing yards96207
Passing attempts2639
Yds / pass3.75.3
First downs2216
Turnovers00
Penalties64
Penalty yards3056
Sacks11
Time of possession31:5728:03

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Ole Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)69% / 31%44%2.7
Q2(19)32% / 68%47%5.7
Q3(19)16% / 84%53%6.5
Q4(21)33% / 67%29%3.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 46th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)10.050%3.8
2nd(11)7.518%3.1
3rd(9)5.822%2.6
4th(1)3.0100%7.0
All (27)—30%3.2
Rushing by down(offense 33rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(26)10.354%5.3
2nd(14)6.743%3.1
3rd(7)6.343%9.6
4th(1)1.0100%3.0
All (48)—50%5.2
Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(21)52% / 48%19%2.9
Q2(17)59% / 41%29%4.9
Q3(13)46% / 54%54%6.2
Q4(16)81% / 19%31%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 111th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.047%7.7
2nd(12)9.625%3.7
3rd(12)9.325%3.9
4th(1)7.00%0.0
All (40)—33%5.2
Rushing by down(offense 110th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)9.631%3.0
2nd(9)7.022%3.6
3rd(4)4.525%3.8
4th(1)1.0100%11.0
All (27)—30%3.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 16 → Punt5Drive 5: own 15 → Punt7Drive 7: own 15 → Punt9Drive 9: own 17 → Punt11Drive 11: own 25 → Punt13Drive 13: own 18 → Missed FG16Drive 16: own 29 → TD18Drive 18: own 25 → Punt20Drive 20: own 15 → Punt22Drive 22: own 8 → Missed FG24Drive 24: opp 49 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Mississippi State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:384-2Punt1.90-1.9
3own 16Q1 12:2078Punt1.70-1.7
5own 15Q1 8:2240Punt1.60-1.6
7own 15Q1 6:36927Punt1.60-1.6
9own 17Q1 1:15727Punt1.70-1.7
11own 25Q2 8:10925Punt1.90-1.9
13own 18Q2 1:401158Missed FG1.70-1.7
16own 29Q3 13:001071TD2.27+4.8
18own 25Q3 4:2549Punt1.90-1.9
20own 15Q4 13:0042Punt1.60-1.6
22own 8Q4 10:301175Missed FG1.40-1.4
24opp 49Q4 5:1043Downs2.80-2.8
12 drives6830322.17-15.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.