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Northwestern45atIllinois43

2023 · Week 13

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-14.6-7.30+7.3+14.6Northwestern — Off. field pos.: +12.7+12.7Illinois — Off. field pos.: +6.7+6.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Off. scoring eff.: +3.4+3.4Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +11.5+11.5Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Def. field pos.: -6.7-6.7Illinois — Def. field pos.: -12.7-12.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Def. scoring eff.: -11.5-11.5Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -3.4-3.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northwestern — Possessions: +4.1+4.1Illinois — Possessions: -4.1-4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
NorthwesternIllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthwestern 45Illinois 43
NorthwesternIllinoishover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

NorthwesternIllinois
Total yards379455
Rushing yards145107
Rushing attempts3732
Yds / rush3.93.3
Passing yards234348
Passing attempts3235
Yds / pass7.39.9
First downs2020
Turnovers24
Penalties51
Penalty yards3010
Sacks22
Time of possession29:5030:10

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northwestern
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)57% / 43%43%5.4
Q2(18)56% / 44%61%7.2
Q3(19)47% / 53%58%7.2
Q4(18)39% / 61%39%2.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 80th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.750%5.6
2nd(15)8.353%8.4
3rd(5)6.880%5.5
All (34)—56%6.8
Rushing by down(offense 86th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.437%5.1
2nd(10)4.970%5.1
3rd(6)9.333%2.5
All (35)—46%4.6
Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%44%4.6
Q2(18)50% / 50%39%5.5
Q3(12)42% / 58%50%6.7
Q4(21)76% / 24%57%10.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 16th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.060%5.5
2nd(14)7.464%17.0
3rd(11)5.845%6.5
4th(2)2.050%-3.5
All (37)—57%9.5
Rushing by down(offense 49th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.232%4.1
2nd(8)7.938%6.5
3rd(2)2.050%0.5
4th(1)1.0100%6.0
All (30)—37%4.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 28 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → Turnover5Drive 5: own 19 → FG7Drive 7: own 43 → TD9Drive 9: opp 47 → FG12Drive 12: own 24 → —14Drive 14: own 29 → FG16Drive 16: own 27 → TD19Drive 19: own 19 → Def. TD21Drive 21: own 7 → Turnover23Drive 23: own 33 → Downs25Drive 25: own 20 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 28Q1 14:5646Punt2.20-2.2
3own 25Q1 11:4524Turnover1.90-1.9
5own 19Q1 8:491259FG1.73+1.3
7own 43Q2 13:36957TD2.87+4.2
9opp 47Q2 6:29943FG2.83+0.2
12own 24Q2 0:002-1—1.90-1.9
14own 29Q3 10:481049FG2.23+0.8
16own 27Q3 1:05883TD2.18+5.9
19own 19Q4 9:55984Def. TD(−7 opp)1.76+4.3
21own 7Q4 6:13414Turnover1.30-1.3
23own 33Q4 2:555-1Downs2.30-2.3
25own 20Q4 1:14680TD1.76+4.3
12 drives6945524.543+18.5

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.