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Duke0atLouisville23

2023 · Week 9

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-21.5-10.70+10.7+21.5Duke — Off. field pos.: -2.0-2.0Louisville — Off. field pos.: +0.7+0.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Off. scoring eff.: -18.7-18.7Louisville — Off. scoring eff.: -0.4-0.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. field pos.: -0.7-0.7Louisville — Def. field pos.: +2.0+2.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. scoring eff.: +0.4+0.4Louisville — Def. scoring eff.: +18.7+18.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Louisville — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
DukeLouisvilleBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01325Q1Q2Q3FinalDuke 0Louisville 23
DukeLouisvillehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

DukeLouisville
Total yards202351
Rushing yards51234
Rushing attempts2148
Yds / rush2.44.9
Passing yards151117
Passing attempts2816
Yds / pass5.47.3
First downs920
Turnovers10
Penalties104
Penalty yards8245
Sacks24
Time of possession23:0936:51

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)64% / 36%29%2.1
Q2(12)50% / 50%33%5.7
Q3(9)67% / 33%11%0.6
Q4(13)77% / 23%23%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 49th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)12.120%1.4
2nd(12)12.342%6.8
3rd(7)13.414%4.7
4th(2)5.50%-3.0
All (31)—26%3.9
Rushing by down(offense 43rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)11.122%1.7
2nd(4)9.025%5.5
3rd(4)8.825%7.0
All (17)—24%3.8
Louisville
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)31% / 69%75%7.6
Q2(17)41% / 59%41%5.3
Q3(18)28% / 72%61%6.3
Q4(12)8% / 92%17%1.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 11th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)10.083%9.2
2nd(10)8.660%4.9
3rd(2)6.50%0.0
All (18)—61%5.8
Rushing by down(offense 6th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.341%4.9
2nd(14)5.757%5.1
3rd(8)5.638%7.5
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (45)—47%5.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 28 → TD4Drive 4: opp 49 → TD6Drive 6: own 20 → Punt8Drive 8: own 11 → FG10Drive 10: own 19 → End of half11Drive 11: own 25 → FG13Drive 13: opp 25 → FG15Drive 15: own 20 → Punt17Drive 17: own 45 → Punt19Drive 19: own 2 → Punt21Drive 21: own 33 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Louisville drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 28Q1 12:251072TD2.27+4.8
4opp 49Q1 4:02649TD2.87+4.2
6own 20Q2 14:39932Punt1.70-1.7
8own 11Q2 4:31959FG1.53+1.5
10own 19Q2 0:042-1End of half1.70-1.7
11own 25Q3 14:581472FG1.93+1.1
13opp 25Q3 5:24518FG3.73-0.7
15own 20Q3 1:11732Punt1.70-1.7
17own 45Q4 9:404-4Punt2.80-2.8
19own 2Q4 5:4155Punt1.20-1.2
21own 33Q4 2:35511End of half2.30-2.3
11 drives6835123.423-0.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.