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Wake Forest21atDuke24

2023 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-9.3-4.60+4.6+9.3Wake Forest — Off. field pos.: +2.2+2.2Duke — Off. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Off. scoring eff.: -8.1-8.1Duke — Off. scoring eff.: -2.3-2.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Def. field pos.: +0.6+0.6Duke — Def. field pos.: -2.2-2.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Def. scoring eff.: +2.3+2.3Duke — Def. scoring eff.: +8.1+8.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Wake Forest — Possessions: 0.00.0Duke — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Wake ForestDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01326Q1Q2Q3FinalWake Forest 21Duke 24
Wake ForestDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Wake ForestDuke
Total yards400267
Rushing yards159181
Rushing attempts4741
Yds / rush3.44.4
Passing yards24186
Passing attempts1919
Yds / pass12.74.5
First downs1815
Turnovers22
Penalties55
Penalty yards5433
Sacks23
Time of possession31:5128:09

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Wake Forest
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)26% / 74%37%5.7
Q2(15)33% / 67%60%5.7
Q3(16)31% / 69%50%7.9
Q4(14)50% / 50%50%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 69th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)9.573%9.5
2nd(6)7.567%16.0
3rd(5)3.860%6.4
All (22)—68%10.5
Rushing by down(offense 58th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)9.440%4.4
2nd(15)6.240%3.2
3rd(6)6.733%4.8
4th(1)1.00%-2.0
All (42)—38%3.9
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)50% / 50%17%1.5
Q2(17)18% / 82%59%7.8
Q3(12)50% / 50%8%1.4
Q4(17)29% / 71%35%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 49th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)10.029%7.3
2nd(5)8.820%2.4
3rd(8)7.313%0.1
All (20)—20%3.2
Rushing by down(offense 43rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.233%4.0
2nd(14)7.936%5.6
3rd(6)4.267%7.2
All (38)—39%5.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 21 → Punt4Drive 4: own 25 → —6Drive 6: own 20 → Punt8Drive 8: own 40 → TD10Drive 10: own 27 → Turnover12Drive 12: own 25 → TD14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 21 → Punt18Drive 18: own 9 → Punt20Drive 20: own 46 → Punt22Drive 22: opp 48 → TD24Drive 24: own 13 → Punt26Drive 26: own 27 → FGown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 21Q1 12:2457Punt1.70-1.7
4own 25Q1 7:103-10—1.90-1.9
6own 20Q1 4:17618Punt1.70-1.7
8own 40Q1 0:24560TD2.67+4.4
10own 27Q2 9:5010Turnover2.10-2.1
12own 25Q2 8:101675TD1.97+5.1
14own 25Q3 15:0042Punt1.90-1.9
16own 21Q3 9:5148Punt1.70-1.7
18own 9Q3 4:2877Punt1.40-1.4
20own 46Q4 14:4847Punt2.80-2.8
22opp 48Q4 12:14329TD2.87+4.2
24own 13Q4 8:45525Punt1.60-1.6
26own 27Q4 3:411629FG2.13+0.9
13 drives6326726.324-2.3

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.