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Air Force17atNavy6

2023 · Week 8

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-24.6-12.30+12.3+24.6Air Force — Off. field pos.: +11.5+11.5Navy — Off. field pos.: -3.9-3.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Off. scoring eff.: -21.4-21.4Navy — Off. scoring eff.: -19.1-19.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Def. field pos.: +3.9+3.9Navy — Def. field pos.: -11.5-11.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Def. scoring eff.: +19.1+19.1Navy — Def. scoring eff.: +21.4+21.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Navy — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Air ForceNavyBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01019Q1Q2Q3FinalAir Force 17Navy 6
Air ForceNavyhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Air ForceNavy
Total yards288124
Rushing yards13722
Rushing attempts4835
Yds / rush2.90.6
Passing yards151102
Passing attempts529
Yds / pass30.23.5
First downs810
Turnovers12
Penalties54
Penalty yards3050
Sacks41
Time of possession31:4428:16

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Air Force
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)8% / 92%15%4.8
Q2(11)27% / 73%18%12.2
Q3(16)13% / 88%38%2.9
Q4(10)0% / 100%30%2.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 130th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(2)10.0100%28.0
2nd(3)10.033%31.3
3rd(1)6.00%1.0
All (6)—50%25.2
Rushing by down(offense 60th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)11.024%3.2
2nd(13)8.523%2.1
3rd(12)7.28%2.4
4th(2)1.0100%2.5
All (44)—23%2.6
Navy
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)22% / 78%0%0.1
Q2(14)29% / 71%14%1.7
Q3(9)44% / 56%0%-1.0
Q4(30)77% / 23%50%3.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 138th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.027%1.0
2nd(12)9.250%4.3
3rd(8)9.913%1.0
4th(2)3.0100%6.0
All (33)—36%2.6
Rushing by down(offense 124th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.018%1.9
2nd(9)9.00%1.0
3rd(9)9.233%1.6
All (29)—17%1.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → Punt4Drive 4: own 42 → Punt6Drive 6: own 42 → Punt8Drive 8: own 14 → Punt10Drive 10: own 11 → Punt12Drive 12: own 7 → Punt14Drive 14: own 16 → End of half15Drive 15: own 18 → Punt17Drive 17: own 9 → Punt19Drive 19: own 19 → Punt21Drive 21: own 20 → Punt23Drive 23: own 24 → Turnover25Drive 25: own 11 → Def. TD26Drive 26: own 22 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Navy drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 9:3841Punt1.90-1.9
4own 42Q1 5:094-6Punt2.70-2.7
6own 42Q1 2:2446Punt2.70-2.7
8own 14Q2 14:48816Punt1.60-1.6
10own 11Q2 8:3547Punt1.50-1.5
12own 7Q2 4:386-2Punt1.30-1.3
14own 16Q2 1:1863End of half1.70-1.7
15own 18Q3 15:0044Punt1.70-1.7
17own 9Q3 11:4444Punt1.40-1.4
19own 19Q3 5:554-17Punt1.70-1.7
21own 20Q4 14:551122Punt1.70-1.7
23own 24Q4 6:40510Turnover1.90-1.9
25own 11Q4 4:08318Def. TD(−7 opp)1.50-1.5
26own 22Q4 3:511778TD1.86+4.2
14 drives6512425.16-19.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.