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Western Michigan31atToledo49

2023 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-11-5.50+5.5+11Western Michigan — Off. field pos.: +9.5+9.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +5.1+5.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Michigan — Off. scoring eff.: -9.5-9.5Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +8.7+8.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Michigan — Def. field pos.: -5.1-5.1Toledo — Def. field pos.: -9.5-9.5Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Michigan — Def. scoring eff.: -8.7-8.7Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +9.5+9.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Western Michigan — Possessions: -4.1-4.1Toledo — Possessions: +4.1+4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Western MichiganToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02754Q1Q2Q3FinalWestern Michigan 31Toledo 49
Western MichiganToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Western MichiganToledo
Total yards393497
Rushing yards230269
Rushing attempts5544
Yds / rush4.26.1
Passing yards163228
Passing attempts2624
Yds / pass6.39.5
First downs2423
Turnovers44
Penalties511
Penalty yards5095
Sacks03
Time of possession33:4326:17

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Western Michigan
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)32% / 68%37%2.9
Q2(22)23% / 77%36%7.4
Q3(12)8% / 92%25%5.0
Q4(22)64% / 36%23%2.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 113th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.027%5.7
2nd(7)9.443%4.1
3rd(5)12.60%1.8
4th(3)6.70%-2.3
All (26)23%3.6
Rushing by down(offense 121st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)9.027%4.6
2nd(18)7.228%4.1
3rd(8)2.663%7.6
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (49)35%4.8
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%61%9.7
Q2(13)31% / 69%23%2.1
Q3(19)47% / 53%47%7.4
Q4(15)13% / 87%67%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)9.443%5.4
2nd(12)7.958%10.0
3rd(3)8.3100%22.0
4th(1)3.00%0.0
All (23)57%9.7
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(29)9.855%5.8
2nd(8)9.338%4.8
3rd(5)6.420%2.8
All (42)48%5.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → Turnover4Drive 4: opp 43 → TD6Drive 6: own 38 → TD8Drive 8: own 19 → Punt10Drive 10: own 2 → Def. TD11Drive 11: own 25 → Punt13Drive 13: own 25 → Turnover15Drive 15: own 25 → End of half16Drive 16: own 32 → Punt18Drive 18: own 35 → Turnover20Drive 20: own 12 → TD22Drive 22: opp 24 → TD24Drive 24: own 25 → TD26Drive 26: opp 35 → TD28Drive 28: opp 45 → Downs30Drive 30: opp 18 → TD32Drive 32: own 19 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 10:00960Turnover1.90-1.9
4opp 43Q1 6:02753TD3.07+4.0
6own 38Q1 2:22562TD2.47+4.6
8own 19Q2 14:0245Punt1.70-1.7
10own 2Q2 7:01410Def. TD(−7 opp)1.20-1.2
11own 25Q2 5:0341Punt1.90-1.9
13own 25Q2 0:58311Turnover1.90-1.9
15own 25Q2 0:0020End of half1.90-1.9
16own 32Q3 14:4648Punt2.30-2.3
18own 35Q3 11:46421Turnover2.30-2.3
20own 12Q3 7:48888TD1.67+5.4
22opp 24Q3 4:43824TD3.77+3.3
24own 25Q4 13:10621TD1.97+5.1
26opp 35Q4 10:09335TD3.57+3.5
28opp 45Q4 6:03626Downs2.90-2.9
30opp 18Q4 2:52218TD4.27+2.8
32own 19Q4 0:0020End of half1.70-1.7
17 drives7149740.349+8.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.