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Northern Illinois33atToledo35

2023 · Week 5

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-11.5-5.70+5.7+11.5Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: +7.3+7.3Toledo — Off. field pos.: +0.2+0.2Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +0.9+0.9Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +10.0+10.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -0.2-0.2Toledo — Def. field pos.: -7.3-7.3Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -10.0-10.0Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: -0.9-0.9Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Possessions: 0.00.0Toledo — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Northern IllinoisToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02039Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthern Illinois 33Toledo 35
Northern IllinoisToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Northern IllinoisToledo
Total yards444542
Rushing yards186261
Rushing attempts3243
Yds / rush5.86.1
Passing yards258281
Passing attempts3120
Yds / pass8.314.1
First downs2223
Turnovers11
Penalties58
Penalty yards4077
Sacks02
Time of possession30:3629:24

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)38% / 62%62%8.8
Q2(12)42% / 58%42%5.8
Q3(9)56% / 44%67%8.3
Q4(27)67% / 33%56%6.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 100th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.767%8.4
2nd(13)6.969%10.0
3rd(5)8.60%-1.4
All (33)—58%7.5
Rushing by down(offense 68th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.869%10.6
2nd(7)6.629%0.4
3rd(5)6.040%3.8
All (28)—54%6.9
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)38% / 62%62%12.6
Q2(15)33% / 67%33%7.1
Q3(21)29% / 71%67%6.6
Q4(10)20% / 80%20%7.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)11.167%21.2
2nd(3)6.3100%12.3
3rd(6)9.817%3.8
All (18)—56%13.9
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.942%6.8
2nd(16)7.956%6.3
3rd(4)3.825%0.8
4th(2)2.050%2.0
All (41)—46%5.8

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 4 → Downs4Drive 4: own 32 → TD6Drive 6: own 30 → TD8Drive 8: own 10 → Punt10Drive 10: own 2 → Punt12Drive 12: own 34 → TD14Drive 14: own 30 → Def. TD15Drive 15: own 8 → TD17Drive 17: own 32 → TD19Drive 19: own 49 → Punt21Drive 21: own 48 → Punt23Drive 23: opp 43 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 4Q1 9:46767Downs1.20-1.2
4own 32Q1 3:54368TD2.37+4.7
6own 30Q1 1:15950TD2.27+4.8
8own 10Q2 10:181064Punt1.50-1.5
10own 2Q2 2:26821Punt1.20-1.2
12own 34Q3 14:53866TD2.37+4.7
14own 30Q3 7:59315Def. TD(−7 opp)2.20-2.2
15own 8Q3 7:161358TD1.47+5.6
17own 32Q4 11:17168TD2.37+4.7
19own 49Q4 9:0643Punt2.80-2.8
21own 48Q4 5:3364Punt2.80-2.8
23opp 43Q4 2:2364Punt3.00-3.0
12 drives6554225.035+10.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.