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Northern Illinois31atCentral Michigan37

2023 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-8.9-4.50+4.5+8.9Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: -1.6-1.6Central Michigan — Off. field pos.: +3.3+3.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +7.7+7.7Central Michigan — Off. scoring eff.: +6.8+6.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -3.3-3.3Central Michigan — Def. field pos.: +1.6+1.6Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -6.8-6.8Central Michigan — Def. scoring eff.: -7.7-7.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Central Michigan — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Northern IllinoisCentral MichiganBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02141Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthern Illinois 31Central Michigan 37
Northern IllinoisCentral Michiganhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Northern IllinoisCentral Michigan
Total yards506447
Rushing yards208331
Rushing attempts2947
Yds / rush7.27.0
Passing yards298116
Passing attempts3516
Yds / pass8.57.3
First downs2322
Turnovers30
Penalties98
Penalty yards7680
Sacks00
Time of possession29:4830:12

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)57% / 43%57%7.9
Q2(15)60% / 40%20%4.3
Q3(10)40% / 60%40%20.4
Q4(21)52% / 48%62%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 100th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.464%12.1
2nd(9)8.644%13.2
3rd(7)6.90%0.6
4th(2)9.050%5.0
All (32)—44%9.5
Rushing by down(offense 68th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.059%9.8
2nd(8)8.138%4.3
3rd(2)7.00%4.5
4th(1)1.0100%9.0
All (28)—50%7.8
Central Michigan
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)41% / 59%41%7.1
Q2(15)33% / 67%53%10.2
Q3(18)17% / 83%61%9.0
Q4(12)8% / 92%17%2.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 112th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.945%8.4
2nd(2)7.550%9.5
3rd(3)8.70%1.7
All (16)—38%7.3
Rushing by down(offense 90th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.644%5.5
2nd(19)7.047%7.1
3rd(9)4.756%12.8
All (46)—48%7.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 32 → TD3Drive 3: own 31 → Punt5Drive 5: own 42 → FG7Drive 7: own 34 → TD9Drive 9: opp 44 → TD11Drive 11: own 20 → —13Drive 13: own 30 → TD15Drive 15: opp 47 → TD17Drive 17: own 32 → Missed FG19Drive 19: own 26 → Punt21Drive 21: own 30 → Punt23Drive 23: own 22 → Punt25Drive 25: own 45 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Central Michigan drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 32Q1 14:48868TD2.37+4.7
3own 31Q1 8:30716Punt2.20-2.2
5own 42Q1 1:32841FG2.73+0.3
7own 34Q2 13:01676TD2.37+4.7
9opp 44Q2 7:41344TD3.07+4.0
11own 20Q2 1:06629—1.70-1.7
13own 30Q3 13:16670TD2.26+3.8
15opp 47Q3 9:18841TD2.87+4.2
17own 32Q3 5:44851Missed FG2.30-2.3
19own 26Q4 13:41510Punt2.00-2.0
21own 30Q4 9:4448Punt2.20-2.2
23own 22Q4 3:1458Punt1.80-1.8
25own 45Q4 1:0272End of half2.80-2.8
13 drives6344730.237+6.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.