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Toledo32atBowling Green31

2023 · Week 12

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-3.5-1.80+1.8+3.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Bowling Green — Off. field pos.: +3.1+3.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +1.7+1.7Bowling Green — Off. scoring eff.: +1.0+1.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: -3.1-3.1Bowling Green — Def. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: -1.0-1.0Bowling Green — Def. scoring eff.: -1.7-1.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Bowling Green — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoBowling GreenBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01835Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 32Bowling Green 31
ToledoBowling Greenhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoBowling Green
Total yards415404
Rushing yards13695
Rushing attempts2735
Yds / rush5.02.7
Passing yards279309
Passing attempts3046
Yds / pass9.36.7
First downs1621
Turnovers11
Penalties66
Penalty yards5650
Sacks53
Time of possession23:0136:59

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)61% / 39%33%7.2
Q2(9)67% / 33%33%6.2
Q3(11)55% / 45%36%5.8
Q4(19)53% / 47%53%8.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.050%5.9
2nd(8)11.138%7.3
3rd(10)8.220%4.7
4th(3)3.333%20.0
All (33)—36%7.2
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.446%9.4
2nd(10)6.150%5.3
3rd(1)5.00%3.0
All (24)—46%7.4
Bowling Green
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)75% / 25%67%10.6
Q2(24)54% / 46%71%5.8
Q3(25)64% / 36%32%4.3
Q4(15)73% / 27%20%1.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 109th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.344%7.2
2nd(17)8.447%5.1
3rd(13)6.946%5.8
4th(3)10.033%2.3
All (49)—45%5.8
Rushing by down(offense 42nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.740%4.5
2nd(10)5.360%3.9
3rd(2)1.5100%4.5
All (27)—52%4.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → TD4Drive 4: opp 49 → Punt6Drive 6: own 45 → TD8Drive 8: own 25 → TD10Drive 10: own 38 → TD12Drive 12: own 25 → Punt14Drive 14: own 27 → Turnover16Drive 16: own 6 → Downs18Drive 18: own 48 → Punt20Drive 20: own 29 → Punt22Drive 22: opp 39 → FG24Drive 24: own 34 → Punt26Drive 26: own 31 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Bowling Green drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 12:41370TD1.97+5.1
4opp 49Q1 9:56413Punt2.80-2.8
6own 45Q1 6:51844TD2.87+4.2
8own 25Q2 14:411572TD1.97+5.1
10own 38Q2 4:421766TD2.47+4.6
12own 25Q3 14:4759Punt1.90-1.9
14own 27Q3 12:39738Turnover2.10-2.1
16own 6Q3 8:261356Downs1.30-1.3
18own 48Q3 0:3854Punt2.80-2.8
20own 29Q4 12:1248Punt2.20-2.2
22opp 39Q4 9:55727FG3.33-0.3
24own 34Q4 5:3340Punt2.30-2.3
26own 31Q4 1:374-7Downs2.20-2.2
13 drives8440430.031+1.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.