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Toledo32atCentral Michigan17

2023 · Week 13

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-7.4-3.70+3.7+7.4Toledo — Off. field pos.: +2.8+2.8Central Michigan — Off. field pos.: +1.6+1.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +6.5+6.5Central Michigan — Off. scoring eff.: -5.2-5.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: -1.6-1.6Central Michigan — Def. field pos.: -2.8-2.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +5.2+5.2Central Michigan — Def. scoring eff.: -6.5-6.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Central Michigan — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoCentral MichiganBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01835Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 32Central Michigan 17
ToledoCentral Michiganhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoCentral Michigan
Total yards358335
Rushing yards261104
Rushing attempts4337
Yds / rush6.12.8
Passing yards97231
Passing attempts1727
Yds / pass5.78.6
First downs1716
Turnovers01
Penalties66
Penalty yards6447
Sacks42
Time of possession26:5233:08

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)35% / 65%29%3.7
Q2(18)56% / 44%44%4.7
Q3(10)30% / 70%70%10.7
Q4(17)18% / 82%41%4.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 53rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.156%5.1
2nd(8)10.613%1.1
3rd(4)4.325%1.5
4th(1)4.00%0.0
All (22)32%2.8
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.350%5.1
2nd(12)7.642%4.5
3rd(10)8.560%12.6
All (40)50%6.8
Central Michigan
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%25%3.9
Q2(14)36% / 64%14%0.4
Q3(17)41% / 59%47%6.8
Q4(20)85% / 15%50%6.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 112th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.531%2.1
2nd(12)8.417%2.0
3rd(10)9.340%7.5
4th(1)11.0100%49.0
All (36)31%4.9
Rushing by down(offense 90th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.836%3.6
2nd(9)9.744%7.4
3rd(6)7.033%3.3
4th(2)1.0100%1.5
All (31)42%4.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 39 → Punt4Drive 4: own 44 → Missed FG6Drive 6: own 30 → Punt8Drive 8: own 16 → Punt10Drive 10: own 28 → Punt12Drive 12: own 22 → Punt14Drive 14: own 33 → Turnover16Drive 16: own 31 → FG18Drive 18: own 35 → TD20Drive 20: own 33 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Central Michigan drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 39Q1 12:26919Punt2.50-2.5
4own 44Q1 7:37520Missed FG2.80-2.8
6own 30Q1 3:45624Punt2.20-2.2
8own 16Q2 14:54910Punt1.70-1.7
10own 28Q2 7:5246Punt2.20-2.2
12own 22Q2 1:174-10Punt1.80-1.8
14own 33Q3 14:14654Turnover2.30-2.3
16own 31Q3 7:451461FG2.23+0.8
18own 35Q4 11:35865TD2.38+5.7
20own 33Q4 6:061267TD2.36+3.7
10 drives6633522.217-5.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.