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Arkansas State19atNorthern Illinois21

2023 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-4.3-2.10+2.1+4.3Arkansas State — Off. field pos.: -0.0-0.0Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: +0.3+0.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Off. scoring eff.: -3.7-3.7Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -2.0-2.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Def. field pos.: -0.3-0.3Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: +0.0+0.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Def. scoring eff.: +2.0+2.0Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +3.7+3.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Possessions: 0.00.0Northern Illinois — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Arkansas StateNorthern IllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01223Q1Q2Q3FinalArkansas State 19Northern Illinois 21
Arkansas StateNorthern Illinoishover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Arkansas StateNorthern Illinois
Total yards351421
Rushing yards101189
Rushing attempts2742
Yds / rush3.74.5
Passing yards250232
Passing attempts3030
Yds / pass8.37.7
First downs1826
Turnovers12
Penalties63
Penalty yards4825
Sacks01
Time of possession19:3540:25

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Arkansas State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)67% / 33%56%13.6
Q2(22)64% / 36%36%4.7
Q3(12)50% / 50%42%3.4
Q4(14)36% / 64%43%7.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 103rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.062%13.0
2nd(8)7.338%4.8
3rd(10)5.930%5.0
All (31)—45%8.1
Rushing by down(offense 82nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.042%4.7
2nd(9)7.211%3.4
3rd(4)2.0100%5.0
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (26)—38%4.1
Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(22)50% / 50%55%7.7
Q2(21)48% / 52%52%8.1
Q3(17)41% / 59%24%5.2
Q4(12)17% / 83%42%3.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 100th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.045%6.4
2nd(6)7.217%2.5
3rd(12)8.050%11.5
4th(1)4.0100%32.0
All (30)—43%8.3
Rushing by down(offense 68th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)9.855%6.6
2nd(15)8.627%3.6
3rd(4)8.050%4.5
4th(1)1.0100%4.0
All (42)—45%5.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 4 → Turnover5Drive 5: own 25 → TD7Drive 7: own 13 → TD9Drive 9: own 25 → Missed FG11Drive 11: own 25 → Turnover14Drive 14: own 14 → Punt16Drive 16: own 48 → Punt18Drive 18: own 46 → Missed FG20Drive 20: own 20 → Punt22Drive 22: opp 32 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northern Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:551280TD1.96+4.1
3own 4Q1 7:3336Turnover1.20-1.2
5own 25Q1 5:36975TD1.97+5.1
7own 13Q2 13:401177TD1.68+6.4
9own 25Q2 6:20856Missed FG1.90-1.9
11own 25Q2 1:45757Turnover1.90-1.9
14own 14Q3 14:00938Punt1.60-1.6
16own 48Q3 7:0842Punt2.80-2.8
18own 46Q3 3:45748Missed FG2.80-2.8
20own 20Q4 11:101233Punt1.70-1.7
22opp 32Q4 0:52510End of half3.60-3.6
11 drives7342123.021-2.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.