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Ole Miss38atPenn State25

2023 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10.6-5.30+5.3+10.6Ole Miss — Off. field pos.: -0.1-0.1Penn State — Off. field pos.: -3.0-3.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Off. scoring eff.: +9.2+9.2Penn State — Off. scoring eff.: +1.1+1.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Def. field pos.: +3.0+3.0Penn State — Def. field pos.: +0.1+0.1Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Def. scoring eff.: -1.1-1.1Penn State — Def. scoring eff.: -9.2-9.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Penn State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Ole MissPenn StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalOle Miss 38Penn State 25
Ole MissPenn Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Ole MissPenn State
Total yards540510
Rushing yards146167
Rushing attempts4728
Yds / rush3.16.0
Passing yards394343
Passing attempts4140
Yds / pass9.68.6
First downs3021
Turnovers02
Penalties56
Penalty yards2650
Sacks11
Time of possession33:3826:22

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Ole Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)70% / 30%35%6.3
Q2(26)42% / 58%58%8.3
Q3(25)48% / 52%48%5.6
Q4(17)29% / 71%35%3.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 46th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.669%10.4
2nd(12)9.933%7.1
3rd(13)10.146%9.5
4th(1)1.0100%15.0
All (42)—52%9.3
Rushing by down(offense 33rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(25)10.044%4.6
2nd(14)6.229%0.9
3rd(5)5.620%1.2
4th(2)2.0100%7.5
All (46)—39%3.2
Penn State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)41% / 59%47%9.5
Q2(16)50% / 50%44%7.1
Q3(9)56% / 44%0%1.6
Q4(26)81% / 19%50%8.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 42nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)11.750%14.5
2nd(11)9.927%4.3
3rd(10)7.630%4.7
4th(2)6.050%1.0
All (41)—39%8.6
Rushing by down(offense 25th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.747%4.9
2nd(7)9.329%7.7
3rd(5)6.860%7.8
All (27)—44%6.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 17 → FG4Drive 4: own 11 → Punt6Drive 6: own 25 → TD8Drive 8: own 25 → Turnover10Drive 10: own 25 → TD12Drive 12: own 16 → Punt14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 25 → Punt18Drive 18: own 25 → Punt20Drive 20: own 11 → Missed FG22Drive 22: own 25 → —24Drive 24: own 30 → TD26Drive 26: own 20 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Penn State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 17Q1 13:481174FG1.73+1.3
4own 11Q1 6:35718Punt1.50-1.5
6own 25Q1 0:20775TD1.97+5.1
8own 25Q2 10:12418Turnover1.90-1.9
10own 25Q2 4:00475TD1.97+5.1
12own 16Q2 1:1069Punt1.70-1.7
14own 25Q3 14:5044Punt1.90-1.9
16own 25Q3 10:3349Punt1.90-1.9
18own 25Q3 4:0041Punt1.90-1.9
20own 11Q4 14:201387Missed FG1.50-1.5
22own 25Q4 6:23426—1.90-1.9
24own 30Q4 4:46570TD2.28+5.8
26own 20Q4 1:18844Downs1.70-1.7
13 drives6951023.925+1.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.