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Louisville28atUSC42

2023 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-14.8-7.40+7.4+14.8Louisville — Off. field pos.: +1.0+1.0USC — Off. field pos.: +6.4+6.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Off. scoring eff.: +6.3+6.3USC — Off. scoring eff.: +12.9+12.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Def. field pos.: -6.4-6.4USC — Def. field pos.: -1.0-1.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Def. scoring eff.: -12.9-12.9USC — Def. scoring eff.: -6.3-6.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Louisville — Possessions: -2.1-2.1USC — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
LouisvilleUSCBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02346Q1Q2Q3FinalLouisville 28USC 42
LouisvilleUSChover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

LouisvilleUSC
Total yards361443
Rushing yards22071
Rushing attempts4519
Yds / rush4.93.7
Passing yards141372
Passing attempts2533
Yds / pass5.611.3
First downs2219
Turnovers21
Penalties43
Penalty yards4432
Sacks03
Time of possession36:3423:26

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Louisville
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)26% / 74%74%5.6
Q2(19)47% / 53%58%4.8
Q3(17)35% / 65%47%6.2
Q4(14)50% / 50%57%4.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 11th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.659%4.1
2nd(5)7.440%6.8
3rd(4)6.80%1.5
4th(1)6.00%4.0
All (27)—44%4.2
Rushing by down(offense 6th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)8.471%8.4
2nd(18)5.361%4.0
3rd(8)2.375%8.3
4th(2)1.0100%1.0
All (42)—69%6.1
USC
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)67% / 33%33%6.4
Q2(12)83% / 17%67%13.7
Q3(14)71% / 29%57%6.7
Q4(14)36% / 64%29%8.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 10th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.864%11.9
2nd(11)7.545%12.0
3rd(8)7.675%10.6
All (33)—61%11.6
Rushing by down(offense 13th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.018%2.3
2nd(5)10.020%7.2
3rd(2)6.00%4.5
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (19)—21%3.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → Missed FG5Drive 5: opp 19 → TD7Drive 7: own 20 → TD9Drive 9: opp 18 → TD11Drive 11: own 25 → TD14Drive 14: opp 42 → Turnover16Drive 16: own 47 → TD18Drive 18: own 25 → TD20Drive 20: own 12 → Punt22Drive 22: opp 21 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USC drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:4544Punt1.90-1.9
3own 25Q1 8:27754Missed FG1.90-1.9
5opp 19Q1 5:21319TD4.17+2.9
7own 20Q2 10:11580TD1.77+5.3
9opp 18Q2 7:0339TD4.27+2.8
11own 25Q2 1:50575TD1.97+5.1
14opp 42Q3 13:30395Turnover3.10-3.1
16own 47Q3 9:401253TD2.87+4.2
18own 25Q4 12:50775TD1.97+5.1
20own 12Q4 4:40844Punt1.60-1.6
22opp 21Q4 1:003-4End of half3.90-3.9
11 drives5544329.142+12.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.