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Toledo41atMississippi State17

2024 · Week 3

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-18.4-9.20+9.2+18.4Toledo — Off. field pos.: +5.0+5.0Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: +16.0+16.0Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: -4.4-4.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: +0.6+0.6Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -5.0-5.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +4.4+4.4Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: -16.0-16.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: -2.0-2.0Mississippi State — Possessions: +2.0+2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoMississippi StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02345Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 41Mississippi State 17
ToledoMississippi Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoMississippi State
Total yards454385
Rushing yards16966
Rushing attempts4527
Yds / rush3.82.4
Passing yards285319
Passing attempts2839
Yds / pass10.28.2
First downs2621
Turnovers12
Penalties810
Penalty yards50104
Sacks50
Time of possession37:0422:56

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)53% / 47%47%6.8
Q2(22)50% / 50%59%7.7
Q3(15)33% / 67%53%5.9
Q4(15)7% / 93%47%3.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 85th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(5)9.280%7.0
2nd(14)8.471%11.7
3rd(7)5.657%10.9
4th(1)4.0100%4.0
All (27)—70%10.3
Rushing by down(offense 125th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(27)10.233%3.9
2nd(10)5.950%4.8
3rd(6)2.250%0.5
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (44)—41%3.5
Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)56% / 44%0%0.9
Q2(22)82% / 18%50%6.8
Q3(17)53% / 47%24%4.2
Q4(17)65% / 35%59%8.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 87th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.345%8.1
2nd(14)8.736%4.8
3rd(8)9.025%6.1
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (43)—40%6.5
Rushing by down(offense 72nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.730%4.0
2nd(7)9.929%4.3
3rd(4)7.875%5.5
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (22)—36%4.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 19 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → Punt5Drive 5: own 22 → Punt7Drive 7: own 31 → FG9Drive 9: own 25 → Punt11Drive 11: own 15 → Turnover13Drive 13: own 28 → Downs15Drive 15: own 28 → TD17Drive 17: own 25 → —19Drive 19: own 20 → TD21Drive 21: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Mississippi State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 19Q1 14:29411Punt1.80-1.8
3own 25Q1 6:354-2Punt1.90-1.9
5own 22Q1 2:386-1Punt1.80-1.8
7own 31Q2 13:181368FG2.33+0.7
9own 25Q2 5:0942Punt1.90-1.9
11own 15Q2 1:04973Turnover1.60-1.6
13own 28Q3 13:0349Downs2.10-2.1
15own 28Q3 9:581462TD2.17+4.9
17own 25Q4 12:2010—1.90-1.9
19own 20Q4 9:501385TD1.87+5.2
21own 25Q4 1:11856End of half1.90-1.9
11 drives6638521.417-4.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.