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North Carolina19atMinnesota17

2024 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10.2-5.10+5.1+10.2North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +3.2+3.2Minnesota — Off. field pos.: +3.8+3.8Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: -6.2-6.2Minnesota — Off. scoring eff.: -8.8-8.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: -3.8-3.8Minnesota — Def. field pos.: -3.2-3.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: +8.8+8.8Minnesota — Def. scoring eff.: +6.2+6.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: 0.00.0Minnesota — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaMinnesotaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01121Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 19Minnesota 17
North CarolinaMinnesotahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaMinnesota
Total yards252244
Rushing yards14778
Rushing attempts4133
Yds / rush3.62.4
Passing yards105166
Passing attempts2322
Yds / pass4.67.5
First downs1814
Turnovers11
Penalties36
Penalty yards4550
Sacks52
Time of possession30:3129:29

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(11)45% / 55%18%3.5
Q2(15)47% / 53%33%3.9
Q3(27)37% / 63%48%4.0
Q4(10)30% / 70%20%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 109th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)11.744%5.6
2nd(8)9.638%3.8
3rd(7)7.129%2.9
4th(1)3.00%0.0
All (25)—36%4.0
Rushing by down(offense 44th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.033%5.1
2nd(12)7.88%1.8
3rd(8)3.575%5.9
All (38)—34%4.2
Minnesota
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)44% / 56%22%2.7
Q2(14)36% / 64%57%4.9
Q3(4)50% / 50%0%0.3
Q4(17)65% / 35%41%4.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 15th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)9.530%3.5
2nd(9)9.656%6.1
3rd(7)9.914%2.0
All (26)—35%4.0
Rushing by down(offense 78th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)9.427%3.0
2nd(10)7.030%3.1
3rd(5)5.260%4.2
4th(1)1.0100%8.0
All (27)—37%3.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 31 → Punt5Drive 5: own 39 → Missed FG7Drive 7: own 25 → Punt9Drive 9: opp 6 → TD11Drive 11: own 35 → TD14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 25 → Punt18Drive 18: own 2 → Turnover20Drive 20: own 25 → FG22Drive 22: own 40 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Minnesota drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:5943Punt1.90-1.9
3own 31Q1 11:2548Punt2.30-2.3
5own 39Q1 7:371537Missed FG2.60-2.6
7own 25Q2 11:105-3Punt1.90-1.9
9opp 6Q2 8:1826TD5.07+2.0
11own 35Q2 5:581065TD2.47+4.6
14own 25Q3 6:3341Punt1.90-1.9
16own 25Q3 0:1463Punt1.90-1.9
18own 2Q4 12:06211Turnover1.30-1.3
20own 25Q4 9:041025FG1.93+1.1
22own 40Q4 1:351141End of half2.60-2.6
11 drives5724425.817-8.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.