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Illinois38atNorthwestern28

2024 · Week 14 · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-9.8-4.90+4.9+9.8Illinois — Off. field pos.: +5.6+5.6Northwestern — Off. field pos.: +8.5+8.5Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +4.3+4.3Northwestern — Off. scoring eff.: -6.5-6.5Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Def. field pos.: -8.5-8.5Northwestern — Def. field pos.: -5.6-5.6Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +6.5+6.5Northwestern — Def. scoring eff.: -4.3-4.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Possessions: +2.0+2.0Northwestern — Possessions: -2.0-2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
IllinoisNorthwesternBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalIllinois 38Northwestern 28
IllinoisNorthwesternhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

IllinoisNorthwestern
Total yards385442
Rushing yards215113
Rushing attempts3429
Yds / rush6.33.9
Passing yards170329
Passing attempts1761
Yds / pass10.05.4
First downs1428
Turnovers24
Penalties72
Penalty yards5010
Sacks22
Time of possession25:2834:32

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)60% / 40%60%16.2
Q2(11)27% / 73%55%4.6
Q3(12)50% / 50%50%10.5
Q4(19)16% / 84%32%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 38th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(5)12.060%8.0
2nd(9)9.633%12.1
3rd(4)10.025%7.5
All (18)—39%9.9
Rushing by down(offense 32nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.947%6.3
2nd(10)4.950%11.0
3rd(5)4.260%1.2
All (34)—50%6.9
Northwestern
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(22)55% / 45%50%6.5
Q2(24)71% / 29%46%3.8
Q3(18)56% / 44%44%6.0
Q4(25)92% / 8%36%3.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 119th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)10.035%3.7
2nd(22)6.650%4.9
3rd(16)7.044%6.5
4th(1)2.00%0.0
All (62)—42%4.7
Rushing by down(offense 97th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.750%5.6
2nd(9)6.433%3.7
3rd(2)1.5100%7.0
All (27)—48%5.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → FG3Drive 3: own 25 → Turnover6Drive 6: own 21 → Punt8Drive 8: own 18 → Punt10Drive 10: own 14 → End of half12Drive 12: own 22 → Punt14Drive 14: own 25 → FG16Drive 16: opp 40 → TD18Drive 18: opp 49 → Turnover20Drive 20: own 25 → —22Drive 22: own 25 → Downs24Drive 24: own 45 → Turnover26Drive 26: own 20 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northwestern drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:531272FG1.93+1.1
3own 25Q1 8:071170Turnover1.90-1.9
6own 21Q2 13:1344Punt1.80-1.8
8own 18Q2 10:201022Punt1.80-1.8
10own 14Q2 5:111865End of half1.60-1.6
12own 22Q3 14:0949Punt1.80-1.8
14own 25Q3 10:021059FG1.93+1.1
16opp 40Q3 4:03540TD3.37+3.7
18opp 49Q3 0:03427Turnover2.80-2.8
20own 25Q4 12:041-15—1.90-1.9
22own 25Q4 11:041214Downs1.90-1.9
24own 45Q4 6:4633Turnover2.70-2.7
26own 20Q4 2:391080TD1.88+6.2
13 drives9244227.528+0.5

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.