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Duke45atMiddle Tennessee17

2024 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10.8-5.40+5.4+10.8Duke — Off. field pos.: +9.0+9.0Middle Tennessee — Off. field pos.: +0.3+0.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +6.0+6.0Middle Tennessee — Off. scoring eff.: -9.4-9.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. field pos.: -0.3-0.3Middle Tennessee — Def. field pos.: -9.0-9.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. scoring eff.: +9.4+9.4Middle Tennessee — Def. scoring eff.: -6.0-6.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Possessions: +4.0+4.0Middle Tennessee — Possessions: -4.0-4.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
DukeMiddle TennesseeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalDuke 45Middle Tennessee 17
DukeMiddle Tennesseehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

DukeMiddle Tennessee
Total yards340295
Rushing yards124168
Rushing attempts3540
Yds / rush3.54.2
Passing yards216127
Passing attempts2135
Yds / pass10.33.6
First downs1718
Turnovers14
Penalties76
Penalty yards6455
Sacks61
Time of possession23:4536:15

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)40% / 60%53%7.7
Q2(15)47% / 53%40%7.2
Q3(12)50% / 50%42%7.9
Q4(12)8% / 92%25%1.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 83rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)11.486%14.0
2nd(7)6.329%15.7
3rd(6)6.217%-0.5
All (20)45%9.9
Rushing by down(offense 124th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)8.843%4.2
2nd(9)8.322%3.7
3rd(4)5.550%3.5
All (34)38%4.0
Middle Tennessee
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(21)52% / 48%33%5.5
Q2(20)55% / 45%20%2.6
Q3(14)57% / 43%50%4.9
Q4(17)65% / 35%35%2.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 105th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.525%2.0
2nd(19)7.732%3.3
3rd(8)6.913%-0.4
4th(2)1.050%1.5
All (41)27%2.2
Rushing by down(offense 135th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.044%3.3
2nd(6)9.033%3.8
3rd(8)8.038%14.1
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (31)42%6.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD5Drive 5: own 35 → FG7Drive 7: own 8 → —9Drive 9: own 16 → Turnover11Drive 11: own 25 → Punt13Drive 13: opp 42 → Downs15Drive 15: own 20 → Punt17Drive 17: own 22 → Punt20Drive 20: own 21 → Punt22Drive 22: own 44 → TD24Drive 24: own 12 → Turnover26Drive 26: own 25 → Missed FG28Drive 28: own 20 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Middle Tennessee drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:58375TD1.97+5.1
5own 35Q1 11:111434FG2.43+0.6
7own 8Q1 5:013-71.50-1.5
9own 16Q1 3:2922Turnover1.70-1.7
11own 25Q1 1:1991Punt1.90-1.9
13opp 42Q2 12:11719Downs3.30-3.3
15own 20Q2 6:23615Punt1.80-1.8
17own 22Q2 1:04829Punt1.80-1.8
20own 21Q3 12:08822Punt1.80-1.8
22own 44Q3 5:201047TD2.77+4.3
24own 12Q4 14:3555Turnover1.50-1.5
26own 25Q4 11:511139Missed FG1.90-1.9
28own 20Q4 1:4749Punt1.80-1.8
13 drives7629526.417-9.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.