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North Carolina20atDuke21

2024 · Week 5

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-9.7-4.90+4.9+9.7North Carolina — Off. field pos.: -0.3-0.3Duke — Off. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: -7.8-7.8Duke — Off. scoring eff.: -8.5-8.5Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Duke — Def. field pos.: +0.3+0.3Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: +8.5+8.5Duke — Def. scoring eff.: +7.8+7.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: 0.00.0Duke — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01223Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 20Duke 21
North CarolinaDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaDuke
Total yards407396
Rushing yards156187
Rushing attempts4040
Yds / rush3.94.7
Passing yards251209
Passing attempts3934
Yds / pass6.46.1
First downs2020
Turnovers11
Penalties108
Penalty yards8465
Sacks32
Time of possession34:0625:54

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(26)42% / 58%46%5.3
Q2(16)56% / 44%38%5.1
Q3(15)47% / 53%33%5.7
Q4(22)64% / 36%36%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 109th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.063%5.5
2nd(18)7.344%8.2
3rd(14)8.421%2.4
4th(1)1.0100%24.0
All (41)41%6.2
Rushing by down(offense 44th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(24)11.338%4.3
2nd(10)9.330%5.0
3rd(4)1.550%2.3
All (38)37%4.2
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(14)57% / 43%21%2.1
Q2(23)57% / 43%26%3.0
Q3(14)50% / 50%71%10.7
Q4(23)35% / 65%48%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 83rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.644%8.3
2nd(13)8.931%6.2
3rd(13)7.515%2.9
4th(1)10.00%0.0
All (36)28%5.4
Rushing by down(offense 124th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)9.748%4.1
2nd(13)6.462%7.3
3rd(1)6.00%5.0
4th(1)1.0100%3.0
All (38)53%5.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 15 → Punt5Drive 5: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 25 → Punt9Drive 9: own 26 → Punt11Drive 11: own 48 → Punt13Drive 13: own 23 → Missed FG15Drive 15: own 37 → End of half18Drive 18: own 25 → TD20Drive 20: own 15 → TD22Drive 22: own 13 → Downs24Drive 24: own 40 → TD26Drive 26: own 23 → Punt28Drive 28: opp 42 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:5946Punt1.90-1.9
3own 15Q1 12:2247Punt1.60-1.6
5own 25Q1 10:174-3Punt1.90-1.9
7own 25Q1 4:32521Punt1.90-1.9
9own 26Q1 0:12821Punt2.00-2.0
11own 48Q2 11:3545Punt2.80-2.8
13own 23Q2 5:361542Missed FG1.80-1.8
15own 37Q2 0:164-2End of half2.50-2.5
18own 25Q3 8:22882TD1.97+5.1
20own 15Q3 3:271375TD1.67+5.4
22own 13Q4 11:53847Downs1.50-1.5
24own 40Q4 7:03460TD2.67+4.4
26own 23Q4 3:501132Punt1.80-1.8
28opp 42Q4 0:162-2End of half3.30-3.3
14 drives7639629.521-8.5

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.