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Air Force3atBaylor31

2024 · Week 3

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-21.9-10.90+10.9+21.9Air Force — Off. field pos.: -0.0-0.0Baylor — Off. field pos.: +8.0+8.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Off. scoring eff.: -19.0-19.0Baylor — Off. scoring eff.: -1.0-1.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Def. field pos.: -8.0-8.0Baylor — Def. field pos.: +0.0+0.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Def. scoring eff.: +1.0+1.0Baylor — Def. scoring eff.: +19.0+19.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Air Force — Possessions: -2.0-2.0Baylor — Possessions: +2.0+2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Air ForceBaylorBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01734Q1Q2Q3FinalAir Force 3Baylor 31
Air ForceBaylorhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Air ForceBaylor
Total yards218478
Rushing yards193230
Rushing attempts5638
Yds / rush3.46.1
Passing yards25248
Passing attempts824
Yds / pass3.110.3
First downs1220
Turnovers33
Penalties56
Penalty yards4855
Sacks10
Time of possession33:5826:02

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Air Force
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(21)10% / 90%33%3.9
Q2(24)13% / 88%25%3.6
Q3(11)9% / 91%18%2.2
Q4(6)33% / 67%33%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 138th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(3)10.033%6.0
2nd(2)15.550%0.0
3rd(3)14.70%2.3
All (8)—25%3.6
Rushing by down(offense 89th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)11.320%4.2
2nd(18)8.017%2.9
3rd(13)4.546%3.2
4th(3)1.367%6.0
All (54)—28%3.6
Baylor
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(7)57% / 43%43%6.0
Q2(13)77% / 23%46%7.6
Q3(21)43% / 57%57%6.4
Q4(16)0% / 100%69%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 17th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.054%6.0
2nd(8)7.563%12.0
3rd(2)5.050%10.5
All (23)—57%8.5
Rushing by down(offense 37th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.471%5.7
2nd(12)6.050%7.6
3rd(6)3.333%2.3
4th(2)1.050%1.0
All (34)—56%5.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 28 → FG4Drive 4: own 32 → Turnover6Drive 6: own 28 → Downs8Drive 8: own 25 → Turnover10Drive 10: own 25 → Turnover12Drive 12: own 45 → FG13Drive 13: own 25 → TD15Drive 15: own 36 → TD17Drive 17: opp 34 → FG19Drive 19: opp 33 → TD21Drive 21: own 38 → Missed FG23Drive 23: own 49 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Baylor drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 28Q1 7:324-1FG3.83-0.8
4own 32Q1 4:24643Turnover2.30-2.3
6own 28Q2 12:49646Downs2.10-2.1
8own 25Q2 2:14631Turnover1.90-1.9
10own 25Q2 0:5130Turnover1.90-1.9
12own 45Q2 0:04422FG2.73+0.3
13own 25Q3 14:56751TD1.97+5.1
15own 36Q3 10:38946TD2.57+4.5
17opp 34Q3 5:29932FG3.73-0.7
19opp 33Q3 0:04333TD3.78+4.3
21own 38Q4 12:50946Missed FG2.50-2.5
23own 49Q4 6:161233End of half2.80-2.8
12 drives6247832.031-1.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.