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Toledo21atWestern Kentucky26

2024 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-8.1-4.10+4.1+8.1Toledo — Off. field pos.: +0.6+0.6Western Kentucky — Off. field pos.: +5.0+5.0Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -5.7-5.7Western Kentucky — Off. scoring eff.: -7.1-7.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: -5.0-5.0Western Kentucky — Def. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +7.1+7.1Western Kentucky — Def. scoring eff.: +5.7+5.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: -2.0-2.0Western Kentucky — Possessions: +2.0+2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoWestern KentuckyBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01529Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 21Western Kentucky 26
ToledoWestern Kentuckyhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoWestern Kentucky
Total yards325313
Rushing yards12571
Rushing attempts4230
Yds / rush3.02.4
Passing yards200242
Passing attempts3330
Yds / pass6.18.1
First downs1716
Turnovers43
Penalties810
Penalty yards70104
Sacks12
Time of possession34:1925:41

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)29% / 71%41%5.6
Q2(20)50% / 50%35%3.0
Q3(17)53% / 47%29%5.8
Q4(18)56% / 44%39%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 85th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)9.144%3.1
2nd(10)10.310%1.4
3rd(14)8.450%10.1
4th(1)15.00%0.0
All (34)—35%5.4
Rushing by down(offense 125th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.717%2.7
2nd(14)6.950%5.4
3rd(4)3.375%5.3
4th(2)3.050%3.5
All (38)—37%4.0
Western Kentucky
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)70% / 30%40%3.6
Q2(10)30% / 70%50%8.8
Q3(18)56% / 44%22%2.6
Q4(18)50% / 50%50%8.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 65th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)11.473%14.8
2nd(10)7.630%4.2
3rd(7)7.414%0.9
4th(1)8.0100%25.0
All (29)—45%8.3
Rushing by down(offense 120th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.129%3.4
2nd(8)9.038%3.3
3rd(5)4.440%1.2
All (27)—33%2.9

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Turnover3Drive 3: own 14 → Punt5Drive 5: own 17 → Punt7Drive 7: own 17 → Punt9Drive 9: own 37 → TD11Drive 11: own 20 → End of half13Drive 13: opp 22 → FG15Drive 15: own 25 → Punt17Drive 17: opp 29 → Turnover19Drive 19: own 35 → Punt21Drive 21: own 14 → Punt23Drive 23: opp 49 → TD25Drive 25: own 20 → TD29Drive 29: own 1 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Western Kentucky drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:49931Turnover1.90-1.9
3own 14Q1 4:3841Punt1.60-1.6
5own 17Q2 13:0249Punt1.80-1.8
7own 17Q2 9:36513Punt1.80-1.8
9own 37Q2 2:03263TD2.57+4.5
11own 20Q2 1:0943End of half1.80-1.8
13opp 22Q3 14:4241FG4.03-1.0
15own 25Q3 8:01618Punt1.90-1.9
17opp 29Q3 5:0820Turnover3.80-3.8
19own 35Q3 3:26712Punt2.40-2.4
21own 14Q3 0:26837Punt1.60-1.6
23opp 49Q4 11:17357TD2.87+4.2
25own 20Q4 9:201466TD1.87+5.2
29own 1Q4 0:0860End of half1.30-1.3
14 drives6231331.126-5.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.