FanBoardHQ

Fresno State28atAir Force36

2024 · Week 11

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-14.8-7.40+7.4+14.8Fresno State — Off. field pos.: +2.4+2.4Air Force — Off. field pos.: +5.1+5.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Fresno State — Off. scoring eff.: +9.6+9.6Air Force — Off. scoring eff.: +12.8+12.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Fresno State — Def. field pos.: -5.1-5.1Air Force — Def. field pos.: -2.4-2.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Fresno State — Def. scoring eff.: -12.8-12.8Air Force — Def. scoring eff.: -9.6-9.6Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Fresno State — Possessions: -2.0-2.0Air Force — Possessions: +2.0+2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Fresno StateAir ForceBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02040Q1Q2Q3FinalFresno State 28Air Force 36
Fresno StateAir Forcehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Fresno StateAir Force
Total yards284358
Rushing yards-5344
Rushing attempts1280
Yds / rush-0.44.3
Passing yards28914
Passing attempts266
Yds / pass11.12.3
First downs1524
Turnovers10
Penalties54
Penalty yards4226
Sacks02
Time of possession14:5245:08

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Fresno State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(7)14% / 86%57%4.1
Q2(8)75% / 25%38%13.9
Q3(7)86% / 14%14%6.8
Q4(15)93% / 7%67%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 72nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.775%10.6
2nd(9)8.356%7.9
3rd(4)8.525%19.3
4th(2)8.00%-5.5
All (27)56%9.8
Rushing by down(offense 128th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)7.929%0.9
2nd(3)6.733%2.0
All (10)30%1.2
Air Force
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)0% / 100%63%4.2
Q2(28)21% / 79%36%3.8
Q3(20)0% / 100%50%5.1
Q4(19)0% / 100%58%3.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 138th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(3)10.00%0.0
2nd(2)10.050%5.5
3rd(1)3.0100%3.0
All (6)33%2.3
Rushing by down(offense 89th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(29)9.841%4.1
2nd(27)6.156%3.9
3rd(18)4.550%6.0
4th(6)1.283%1.8
All (80)51%4.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → TD4Drive 4: own 41 → TD6Drive 6: own 25 → Downs8Drive 8: own 30 → FG9Drive 9: own 25 → FG11Drive 11: opp 42 → TD13Drive 13: own 36 → TD15Drive 15: opp 25 → FG17Drive 17: opp 49 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Air Force drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 10:592180TD1.97+5.1
4own 41Q2 13:041544TD2.67+4.4
6own 25Q2 3:4659Downs1.90-1.9
8own 30Q2 1:231353FG2.23+0.8
9own 25Q3 14:591056FG1.93+1.1
11opp 42Q3 8:521242TD3.36+2.7
13own 36Q3 0:291364TD2.57+4.5
15opp 25Q4 5:501211FG3.93-0.9
17opp 49Q4 0:362-1End of half2.80-2.8
9 drives8835823.236+12.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.