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Buffalo23atNorthern Illinois20

2024 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10-50+5+10Buffalo — Off. field pos.: -0.2-0.2Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: +4.7+4.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -4.8-4.8Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -8.7-8.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -4.7-4.7Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: +0.2+0.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: +8.7+8.7Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +4.8+4.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: +4.0+4.0Northern Illinois — Possessions: -4.0-4.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloNorthern IllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01325Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFinalBuffalo 23Northern Illinois 20
BuffaloNorthern Illinoishover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloNorthern Illinois
Total yards184359
Rushing yards77165
Rushing attempts3742
Yds / rush2.13.9
Passing yards107194
Passing attempts1743
Yds / pass6.34.5
First downs924
Turnovers12
Penalties55
Penalty yards7455
Sacks03
Time of possession23:4736:13

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)56% / 44%11%2.0
Q2(18)44% / 56%33%3.6
Q3(8)25% / 75%25%8.0
Q4(13)31% / 69%23%3.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 118th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(4)10.050%7.3
2nd(8)6.438%8.5
3rd(7)7.10%-0.7
All (19)26%4.8
Rushing by down(offense 132nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.029%2.9
2nd(8)8.60%2.1
3rd(6)6.233%7.0
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (29)24%3.5
Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)56% / 44%33%5.4
Q2(14)43% / 57%36%4.6
Q3(20)50% / 50%30%5.3
Q4(24)58% / 42%29%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 62nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.925%3.4
2nd(11)8.69%2.4
3rd(15)8.640%6.9
4th(2)3.0100%10.0
All (40)30%4.7
Rushing by down(offense 87th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)11.137%6.2
2nd(11)8.518%2.7
3rd(6)6.250%6.2
All (36)33%5.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 38 → Punt4Drive 4: own 24 → TD6Drive 6: own 25 → Missed FG10Drive 10: own 47 → Punt12Drive 12: opp 14 → TD14Drive 14: own 35 → End of half15Drive 15: own 25 → Punt17Drive 17: own 25 → Punt19Drive 19: own 30 → FG21Drive 21: own 25 → Punt23Drive 23: 50 → Turnover25Drive 25: own 25 → FGown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northern Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 38Q1 13:3544Punt2.50-2.5
4own 24Q1 11:201481TD1.97+5.1
6own 25Q1 3:351431Missed FG1.90-1.9
10own 47Q2 5:2145Punt2.80-2.8
12opp 14Q2 1:55314TD4.37+2.7
14own 35Q2 1:06927End of half2.40-2.4
15own 25Q3 14:5447Punt1.90-1.9
17own 25Q3 10:56937Punt1.90-1.9
19own 30Q3 5:271263FG2.23+0.8
21own 25Q4 11:56831Punt1.90-1.9
2350Q4 7:44418Turnover2.80-2.8
25own 25Q4 3:171851FG1.93+1.1
12 drives8835928.720-8.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.