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Toledo13atNorthern Illinois6

2024 · Week 8

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-25.5-12.80+12.8+25.5Toledo — Off. field pos.: +7.2+7.2Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -22.2-22.2Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -20.7-20.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -7.2-7.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: +20.7+20.7Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +22.2+22.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Toledo — Possessions: 0.00.0Northern Illinois — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
ToledoNorthern IllinoisBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

0815Q1Q2Q3FinalToledo 13Northern Illinois 6
ToledoNorthern Illinoishover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

ToledoNorthern Illinois
Total yards285391
Rushing yards133181
Rushing attempts3746
Yds / rush3.63.9
Passing yards152210
Passing attempts2846
Yds / pass5.44.6
First downs1525
Turnovers00
Penalties57
Penalty yards5875
Sacks12
Time of possession23:4636:14

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(17)35% / 65%41%4.2
Q2(9)78% / 22%33%8.7
Q3(18)56% / 44%44%4.8
Q4(20)35% / 65%25%3.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 85th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)10.050%5.2
2nd(11)6.745%8.8
3rd(11)5.518%3.1
4th(2)8.00%4.0
All (30)33%5.7
Rushing by down(offense 125th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.045%5.0
2nd(10)6.530%3.2
3rd(3)5.733%3.0
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (34)38%4.1
Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)50% / 50%38%6.8
Q2(31)26% / 74%55%6.3
Q3(16)56% / 44%38%5.3
Q4(28)79% / 21%25%2.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 62nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.047%6.4
2nd(15)9.033%4.8
3rd(10)8.510%3.3
4th(5)8.640%5.0
All (47)34%5.1
Rushing by down(offense 87th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.047%5.4
2nd(13)5.646%4.2
3rd(10)7.250%6.8
4th(2)1.00%0.0
All (44)45%5.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → FG3Drive 3: own 17 → Downs5Drive 5: own 5 → Punt7Drive 7: own 23 → Downs9Drive 9: own 38 → —11Drive 11: own 28 → Missed FG13Drive 13: own 20 → FG15Drive 15: own 37 → Punt17Drive 17: own 15 → Punt19Drive 19: own 25 → Punt21Drive 21: own 27 → Punt23Drive 23: own 20 → Downs25Drive 25: own 23 → Downs27Drive 27: own 10 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Northern Illinois drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:531061FG1.93+1.1
3own 17Q1 10:06640Downs1.80-1.8
5own 5Q1 4:2047Punt1.40-1.4
7own 23Q2 14:471354Downs1.80-1.8
9own 38Q2 7:546362.50-2.5
11own 28Q2 3:431042Missed FG2.10-2.1
13own 20Q2 1:121262FG1.83+1.2
15own 37Q3 13:46618Punt2.50-2.5
17own 15Q3 10:471052Punt1.60-1.6
19own 25Q3 2:09514Punt1.90-1.9
21own 27Q4 10:58825Punt2.00-2.0
23own 20Q4 6:231040Downs1.80-1.8
25own 23Q4 1:41813Downs1.80-1.8
27own 10Q4 0:3640Downs1.50-1.5
14 drives9439126.76-20.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.