FanBoardHQ

Bowling Green41atToledo26

2024 · Week 9

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-14.1-70+7+14.1Bowling Green — Off. field pos.: +12.2+12.2Toledo — Off. field pos.: +0.5+0.5Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Off. scoring eff.: +6.7+6.7Toledo — Off. scoring eff.: -0.6-0.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Def. field pos.: -0.5-0.5Toledo — Def. field pos.: -12.2-12.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Def. scoring eff.: +0.6+0.6Toledo — Def. scoring eff.: -6.7-6.7Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Bowling Green — Possessions: -4.0-4.0Toledo — Possessions: +4.0+4.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Bowling GreenToledoBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02345Q1Q2Q3FinalBowling Green 41Toledo 26
Bowling GreenToledohover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Bowling GreenToledo
Total yards402422
Rushing yards215102
Rushing attempts3728
Yds / rush5.83.6
Passing yards187320
Passing attempts2845
Yds / pass6.77.1
First downs2323
Turnovers02
Penalties25
Penalty yards2540
Sacks12
Time of possession32:2927:31

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Bowling Green
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)58% / 42%58%7.3
Q2(12)42% / 58%75%6.5
Q3(20)60% / 40%50%5.4
Q4(20)30% / 70%25%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 54th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)9.964%10.2
2nd(10)8.450%4.1
3rd(8)6.525%1.1
4th(1)2.0100%11.0
All (30)50%5.8
Rushing by down(offense 103rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)9.555%6.4
2nd(8)7.925%6.5
3rd(5)4.460%4.8
4th(1)5.00%2.0
All (34)47%6.1
Toledo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(22)55% / 45%45%5.0
Q2(24)67% / 33%54%6.3
Q3(10)50% / 50%50%10.6
Q4(17)76% / 24%41%3.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 85th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)11.080%15.5
2nd(18)6.333%2.7
3rd(13)7.838%4.8
All (46)50%7.1
Rushing by down(offense 125th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.737%3.7
2nd(5)6.860%3.4
3rd(1)1.0100%8.0
4th(2)8.050%7.5
All (27)44%4.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → TD5Drive 5: own 20 → Punt7Drive 7: own 25 → FG9Drive 9: own 25 → Safety11Drive 11: own 42 → Def. TD12Drive 12: 50 → FG14Drive 14: own 7 → TD16Drive 16: own 25 → Punt18Drive 18: own 34 → Turnover20Drive 20: own 7 → Punt22Drive 22: own 35 → Downs24Drive 24: own 17 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Toledo drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:515-6Punt1.90-1.9
3own 25Q1 11:08975TD1.97+5.1
5own 20Q1 5:3641Punt1.80-1.8
7own 25Q1 2:341139FG1.93+1.1
9own 25Q2 8:531575Safety(−1 opp)1.97+5.1
11own 42Q2 1:44375Def. TD(−6 opp)2.70-2.7
1250Q2 0:511156FG2.83+0.2
14own 7Q3 10:46593TD1.46+4.6
16own 25Q3 5:30713Punt1.90-1.9
18own 34Q4 14:46417Turnover2.40-2.4
20own 7Q4 9:5741Punt1.40-1.4
22own 35Q4 5:0748Downs2.40-2.4
24own 17Q4 1:01736End of half1.80-1.8
13 drives7542226.626-0.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.