FanBoardHQ

Northern Illinois28atFresno State20

2024 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-8.7-4.40+4.4+8.7Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: +4.2+4.2Fresno State — Off. field pos.: +5.6+5.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -0.2-0.2Fresno State — Off. scoring eff.: -7.6-7.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: -5.6-5.6Fresno State — Def. field pos.: -4.2-4.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: +7.6+7.6Fresno State — Def. scoring eff.: +0.2+0.2Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Possessions: +2.0+2.0Fresno State — Possessions: -2.0-2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Northern IllinoisFresno StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01631Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFinalNorthern Illinois 28Fresno State 20
Northern IllinoisFresno Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Northern IllinoisFresno State
Total yards368328
Rushing yards161117
Rushing attempts4827
Yds / rush3.44.3
Passing yards207211
Passing attempts3129
Yds / pass6.77.3
First downs2417
Turnovers11
Penalties18
Penalty yards1558
Sacks22
Time of possession39:1420:46

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)39% / 61%39%3.6
Q2(22)41% / 59%32%3.9
Q3(19)58% / 42%37%6.4
Q4(20)30% / 70%50%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 62nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.458%7.9
2nd(10)7.530%5.7
3rd(7)7.314%5.1
4th(4)3.575%5.8
All (33)42%6.3
Rushing by down(offense 87th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)9.743%4.5
2nd(14)6.129%2.5
3rd(9)4.633%3.8
4th(2)1.050%1.0
All (46)37%3.6
Fresno State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(10)20% / 80%80%12.4
Q2(12)75% / 25%42%6.1
Q3(12)67% / 33%25%1.8
Q4(22)55% / 45%50%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 72nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.450%9.4
2nd(8)9.650%6.3
3rd(7)7.043%3.8
4th(2)5.00%-7.0
All (31)45%6.4
Rushing by down(offense 128th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.567%6.3
2nd(10)5.650%5.9
3rd(3)2.30%1.0
All (25)52%5.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Punt3Drive 3: opp 25 → TD5Drive 5: own 10 → TD7Drive 7: own 1 → Missed FG12Drive 12: own 44 → Turnover14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 42 → Punt18Drive 18: own 26 → Downs20Drive 20: own 20 → End of half21Drive 21: opp 25 → TD24Drive 24: opp 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Fresno State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 15:0059Punt1.90-1.9
3opp 25Q1 12:27325TD3.96+2.1
5own 10Q1 2:32490TD1.57+5.5
7own 1Q2 4:151573Missed FG1.30-1.3
12own 44Q3 11:14414Turnover2.70-2.7
14own 25Q3 7:39718Punt1.90-1.9
16own 42Q3 2:014-1Punt2.70-2.7
18own 26Q4 13:53936Downs2.00-2.0
20own 20Q4 3:021263End of half1.80-1.8
21opp 25OT 0:00325TD3.97+3.1
24opp 25OT 0:006-13End of half3.90-3.9
11 drives5832827.620-7.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.