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Arkansas State38atBowling Green31

2024 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-11.4-5.70+5.7+11.4Arkansas State — Off. field pos.: +9.9+9.9Bowling Green — Off. field pos.: +0.9+0.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Off. scoring eff.: +4.1+4.1Bowling Green — Off. scoring eff.: +8.0+8.0Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Def. field pos.: -0.9-0.9Bowling Green — Def. field pos.: -9.9-9.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Def. scoring eff.: -8.0-8.0Bowling Green — Def. scoring eff.: -4.1-4.1Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Arkansas State — Possessions: +2.0+2.0Bowling Green — Possessions: -2.0-2.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Arkansas StateBowling GreenBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalArkansas State 38Bowling Green 31
Arkansas StateBowling Greenhover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Arkansas StateBowling Green
Total yards360479
Rushing yards12846
Rushing attempts3224
Yds / rush4.01.9
Passing yards232433
Passing attempts3150
Yds / pass7.58.7
First downs2022
Turnovers11
Penalties76
Penalty yards5056
Sacks14
Time of possession27:2532:35

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Arkansas State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)74% / 26%58%5.4
Q2(12)58% / 42%33%10.1
Q3(16)69% / 31%38%4.3
Q4(15)20% / 80%47%6.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 93rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.643%6.2
2nd(13)7.954%10.7
3rd(8)6.425%0.3
All (35)—43%6.7
Rushing by down(offense 102nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.027%4.2
2nd(8)7.363%6.8
3rd(4)1.5100%6.8
All (27)—48%5.3
Bowling Green
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)83% / 17%25%6.8
Q2(24)75% / 25%50%9.4
Q3(18)61% / 39%28%3.7
Q4(16)69% / 31%38%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 54th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.140%7.7
2nd(15)9.220%6.2
3rd(13)7.246%7.2
4th(2)11.5100%25.5
All (50)—38%7.8
Rushing by down(offense 103rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)9.830%2.4
2nd(6)7.733%3.3
3rd(3)3.067%4.7
4th(1)6.00%4.0
All (20)—35%3.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 18 → Def. TD3Drive 3: own 25 → TD5Drive 5: own 25 → Missed FG7Drive 7: own 23 → TD9Drive 9: own 25 → TD11Drive 11: own 36 → Missed FG15Drive 15: own 25 → FG17Drive 17: own 29 → Downs19Drive 19: own 20 → Missed FG21Drive 21: own 31 → Punt23Drive 23: opp 48 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Bowling Green drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 18Q1 9:534-2Def. TD(−7 opp)1.80-1.8
3own 25Q1 8:02872TD1.97+5.1
5own 25Q1 1:391050Missed FG1.90-1.9
7own 23Q2 11:081072TD1.87+5.2
9own 25Q2 4:13771TD1.97+5.1
11own 36Q2 0:44743Missed FG2.50-2.5
15own 25Q3 11:211355FG1.93+1.1
17own 29Q3 4:4153Downs2.20-2.2
19own 20Q3 1:111541Missed FG1.80-1.8
21own 31Q4 8:454-1Punt2.30-2.3
23opp 48Q4 2:59848TD2.87+4.2
11 drives7847923.031+8.0

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.