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Duke20atOle Miss52

2024 · Non-playoff Bowls · neutral site

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-21.7-10.80+10.8+21.7Duke — Off. field pos.: -1.0-1.0Ole Miss — Off. field pos.: +9.1+9.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Off. scoring eff.: -3.0-3.0Ole Miss — Off. scoring eff.: +18.8+18.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. field pos.: -9.1-9.1Ole Miss — Def. field pos.: +1.0+1.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -18.8-18.8Ole Miss — Def. scoring eff.: +3.0+3.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Possessions: 0.00.0Ole Miss — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
DukeOle MissBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02957Q1Q2Q3FinalDuke 20Ole Miss 52
DukeOle Misshover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

DukeOle Miss
Total yards280589
Rushing yards44151
Rushing attempts2333
Yds / rush1.94.6
Passing yards236438
Passing attempts4537
Yds / pass5.211.8
First downs1727
Turnovers11
Penalties16
Penalty yards1545
Sacks30
Time of possession30:0229:58

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(11)73% / 27%9%1.9
Q2(18)78% / 22%39%5.2
Q3(24)67% / 33%29%3.3
Q4(15)47% / 53%33%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 83rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.040%5.6
2nd(12)9.217%2.9
3rd(14)6.650%6.3
4th(4)4.350%5.0
All (45)—38%5.0
Rushing by down(offense 124th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.018%1.7
2nd(8)7.013%2.9
3rd(3)4.30%0.7
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (23)—13%1.9
Ole Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(27)63% / 37%63%7.7
Q2(22)64% / 36%45%6.4
Q3(8)38% / 63%50%9.3
Q4(13)46% / 54%54%13.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 7th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.867%11.6
2nd(12)9.850%11.8
3rd(9)5.456%7.4
4th(1)4.0100%0.0
All (40)—60%10.7
Rushing by down(offense 69th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.435%4.0
2nd(10)6.260%6.5
3rd(2)20.550%13.5
4th(1)1.0100%7.0
All (30)—47%5.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → Turnover3Drive 3: own 32 → TD5Drive 5: own 34 → TD7Drive 7: own 28 → FG9Drive 9: own 25 → TD11Drive 11: own 10 → End of half13Drive 13: own 28 → Punt16Drive 16: own 26 → TD18Drive 18: own 16 → Punt20Drive 20: opp 38 → TD22Drive 22: own 25 → TD24Drive 24: opp 49 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Ole Miss drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:5313124Turnover1.90-1.9
3own 32Q1 9:05468TD2.37+4.7
5own 34Q1 6:251166TD2.47+4.6
7own 28Q2 14:421261FG2.13+0.9
9own 25Q2 5:491280TD1.97+5.1
11own 10Q2 0:0720End of half1.50-1.5
13own 28Q3 13:414-1Punt2.10-2.1
16own 26Q3 3:15579TD2.07+5.0
18own 16Q3 0:045-4Punt1.70-1.7
20opp 38Q4 11:31438TD3.47+3.6
22own 25Q4 3:36590TD1.97+5.1
24opp 49Q4 1:02442End of half2.80-2.8
12 drives7058926.252+25.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.