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Georgia State7atOle Miss63

2025 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-37.4-18.70+18.7+37.4Georgia State — Off. field pos.: -1.1-1.1Ole Miss — Off. field pos.: +1.5+1.5Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Georgia State — Off. scoring eff.: -22.9-22.9Ole Miss — Off. scoring eff.: +32.6+32.6Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Georgia State — Def. field pos.: -1.5-1.5Ole Miss — Def. field pos.: +1.1+1.1Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Georgia State — Def. scoring eff.: -32.6-32.6Ole Miss — Def. scoring eff.: +22.9+22.9Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Georgia State — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Ole Miss — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Georgia StateOle MissBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

03569Q1Q2Q3FinalGeorgia State 7Ole Miss 63
Georgia StateOle Misshover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Georgia StateOle Miss
Total yards260695
Rushing yards191295
Rushing attempts3544
Yds / rush5.56.7
Passing yards69400
Passing attempts2537
Yds / pass2.810.8
First downs1033
Turnovers12
Penalties88
Penalty yards6051
Sacks21
Time of possession31:2428:36

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Georgia State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)32% / 68%26%3.5
Q2(11)45% / 55%18%7.2
Q3(12)50% / 50%25%2.8
Q4(16)44% / 56%19%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 105th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(3)10.033%2.3
2nd(8)9.10%1.9
3rd(11)6.69%4.9
4th(2)7.50%0.0
All (24)—8%3.2
Rushing by down(offense 71st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)10.035%7.0
2nd(9)7.411%4.0
3rd(3)7.333%5.3
4th(2)1.0100%2.0
All (34)—32%5.7
Ole Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)78% / 22%89%17.3
Q2(32)38% / 63%63%6.0
Q3(22)50% / 50%59%7.0
Q4(17)47% / 53%65%12.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 7th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.559%12.1
2nd(10)10.160%11.5
3rd(6)7.250%4.2
All (38)—58%10.6
Rushing by down(offense 18th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.668%6.5
2nd(16)4.669%8.9
3rd(6)1.783%6.0
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (42)—71%7.3

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 35 → TD4Drive 4: own 31 → Turnover6Drive 6: own 10 → Turnover8Drive 8: own 16 → FG10Drive 10: own 44 → TD12Drive 12: own 25 → TD14Drive 14: own 25 → TD16Drive 16: opp 20 → TD18Drive 18: own 4 → Punt20Drive 20: own 47 → FG22Drive 22: own 39 → TD24Drive 24: own 32 → Punt26Drive 26: own 38 → TD28Drive 28: own 18 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Ole Miss drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 35Q1 11:10365TD2.37+4.7
4own 31Q1 8:16225Turnover2.20-2.2
6own 10Q1 3:25673Turnover1.40-1.4
8own 16Q2 13:54860FG1.63+1.4
10own 44Q2 10:13956TD2.77+4.3
12own 25Q2 5:081975TD1.98+6.1
14own 25Q3 14:53675TD1.97+5.1
16opp 20Q3 11:37318TD4.07+3.0
18own 4Q3 7:56814Punt1.20-1.2
20own 47Q3 4:131148FG2.73+0.3
22own 39Q4 13:56261TD2.47+4.6
24own 32Q4 11:1345Punt2.30-2.3
26own 38Q4 9:06767TD2.37+4.7
28own 18Q4 2:54782TD1.67+5.4
14 drives8269530.463+32.6

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.