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Mississippi State34atSouthern Miss17

2025 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-12.1-6.10+6.1+12.1Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -1.3-1.3Southern Miss — Off. field pos.: +0.1+0.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: +10.5+10.5Southern Miss — Off. scoring eff.: -7.9-7.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -0.1-0.1Southern Miss — Def. field pos.: +1.3+1.3Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: +7.9+7.9Southern Miss — Def. scoring eff.: -10.5-10.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Possessions: 0.00.0Southern Miss — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Mississippi StateSouthern MissBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01937Q1Q2Q3FinalMississippi State 34Southern Miss 17
Mississippi StateSouthern Misshover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Mississippi StateSouthern Miss
Total yards465301
Rushing yards188102
Rushing attempts4235
Yds / rush4.52.9
Passing yards277199
Passing attempts3739
Yds / pass7.55.1
First downs2318
Turnovers11
Penalties148
Penalty yards11960
Sacks11
Time of possession30:2129:39

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)53% / 47%32%6.5
Q2(17)47% / 53%41%4.9
Q3(27)48% / 52%67%7.2
Q4(11)36% / 64%27%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 57th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.331%5.8
2nd(11)10.045%6.0
3rd(8)6.950%12.8
All (35)—40%7.5
Rushing by down(offense 29th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)9.841%4.8
2nd(13)6.946%4.4
3rd(9)5.478%6.3
All (39)—51%5.0
Southern Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)45% / 55%30%3.0
Q2(20)65% / 35%35%5.0
Q3(12)58% / 42%25%1.8
Q4(20)45% / 55%35%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 102nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)9.720%3.8
2nd(13)8.738%5.3
3rd(9)7.344%6.9
4th(1)3.00%2.0
All (38)—32%5.0
Rushing by down(offense 123rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.88%1.3
2nd(11)8.127%3.6
3rd(9)3.967%4.9
4th(2)3.050%3.0
All (34)—32%3.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → Punt4Drive 4: opp 26 → FG6Drive 6: own 25 → Downs8Drive 8: own 19 → TD10Drive 10: own 31 → Punt12Drive 12: own 25 → End of half13Drive 13: own 32 → Punt15Drive 15: own 25 → Punt17Drive 17: own 25 → Turnover19Drive 19: own 25 → Punt21Drive 21: own 25 → Downs23Drive 23: own 17 → TDown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Southern Miss drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 13:221130Punt1.90-1.9
4opp 26Q1 8:2541FG3.83-0.8
6own 25Q1 3:261130Downs1.90-1.9
8own 19Q2 13:491381TD1.77+5.3
10own 31Q2 8:061020Punt2.20-2.2
12own 25Q2 0:002-2End of half1.90-1.9
13own 32Q3 14:45711Punt2.30-2.3
15own 25Q3 9:2342Punt1.90-1.9
17own 25Q3 4:5010Turnover1.90-1.9
19own 25Q3 1:4149Punt1.90-1.9
21own 25Q4 13:331573Downs1.90-1.9
23own 17Q4 4:181541TD1.67+5.4
12 drives7530124.917-7.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.