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Northern Illinois10atMississippi State38

2025 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-21.2-10.60+10.6+21.2Northern Illinois — Off. field pos.: -0.4-0.4Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -1.1-1.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: -10.3-10.3Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: +18.4+18.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. field pos.: +1.1+1.1Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: +0.4+0.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -18.4-18.4Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: +10.3+10.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Northern Illinois — Possessions: 0.00.0Mississippi State — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Northern IllinoisMississippi StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalNorthern Illinois 10Mississippi State 38
Northern IllinoisMississippi Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Northern IllinoisMississippi State
Total yards268452
Rushing yards126292
Rushing attempts2649
Yds / rush4.86.0
Passing yards142160
Passing attempts2520
Yds / pass5.78.0
First downs1423
Turnovers10
Penalties511
Penalty yards50103
Sacks21
Time of possession28:0531:55

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Northern Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)47% / 53%33%6.2
Q2(13)31% / 69%38%6.2
Q3(9)44% / 56%33%8.6
Q4(12)75% / 25%8%2.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 137th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)11.733%5.3
2nd(10)10.840%10.2
3rd(6)9.517%3.0
4th(2)5.50%2.0
All (24)—29%6.7
Rushing by down(offense 129th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(15)10.320%3.9
2nd(7)7.657%7.0
3rd(3)12.30%4.7
All (25)—28%4.9
Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)31% / 69%44%5.1
Q2(15)47% / 53%47%4.4
Q3(20)35% / 65%65%7.8
Q4(18)17% / 83%56%8.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 57th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(6)9.533%8.8
2nd(8)8.125%1.1
3rd(6)5.350%11.7
4th(2)4.0100%7.0
All (22)—41%6.6
Rushing by down(offense 29th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(24)9.854%6.5
2nd(14)6.479%6.8
3rd(7)9.929%7.1
4th(2)1.0100%3.0
All (47)—60%6.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 25 → TD4Drive 4: own 4 → Punt6Drive 6: opp 48 → TD8Drive 8: own 13 → Punt10Drive 10: own 26 → Punt12Drive 12: own 15 → TD14Drive 14: own 20 → FG16Drive 16: own 36 → TD18Drive 18: opp 43 → TD20Drive 20: own 23 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Mississippi State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 25Q1 9:301375TD1.97+5.1
4own 4Q1 0:5357Punt1.20-1.2
6opp 48Q2 14:451038TD2.87+4.2
8own 13Q2 9:46522Punt1.50-1.5
10own 26Q2 1:5256Punt2.00-2.0
12own 15Q3 14:35785TD1.57+5.5
14own 20Q3 8:351770FG1.73+1.3
16own 36Q4 13:22564TD2.37+4.7
18opp 43Q4 9:271048TD2.97+4.1
20own 23Q4 2:25637End of half1.80-1.8
10 drives7045219.638+18.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Northern Illinois at Mississippi State — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ