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Mississippi State38atArkansas35

2025 · Week 10

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-16.7-8.30+8.3+16.7Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: +0.8+0.8Arkansas — Off. field pos.: +5.7+5.7Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: +14.5+14.5Arkansas — Off. scoring eff.: +4.5+4.5Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -5.7-5.7Arkansas — Def. field pos.: -0.8-0.8Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: -4.5-4.5Arkansas — Def. scoring eff.: -14.5-14.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Arkansas — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Mississippi StateArkansasBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalMississippi State 38Arkansas 35
Mississippi StateArkansashover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Mississippi StateArkansas
Total yards388433
Rushing yards106239
Rushing attempts3846
Yds / rush2.85.2
Passing yards282194
Passing attempts3331
Yds / pass8.56.3
First downs2525
Turnovers10
Penalties418
Penalty yards30193
Sacks32
Time of possession25:3934:21

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)67% / 33%20%4.2
Q2(11)36% / 64%27%3.5
Q3(17)35% / 65%53%8.1
Q4(25)52% / 48%44%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 57th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.025%2.0
2nd(11)9.936%10.5
3rd(10)8.140%4.2
4th(4)6.375%22.3
All (33)—39%8.0
Rushing by down(offense 29th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)9.535%3.0
2nd(11)8.536%5.7
3rd(4)5.050%2.0
All (35)—37%3.8
Arkansas
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)25% / 75%38%4.9
Q2(24)67% / 33%50%7.4
Q3(20)30% / 70%60%8.0
Q4(15)53% / 47%47%1.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 31st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.250%8.0
2nd(10)8.530%2.4
3rd(9)9.322%4.9
4th(1)13.00%-19.0
All (34)—35%4.7
Rushing by down(offense 1st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)10.463%8.0
2nd(13)6.846%5.2
3rd(7)3.671%7.1
4th(2)2.5100%2.5
All (41)—61%6.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 31 → Punt3Drive 3: own 25 → Punt5Drive 5: own 44 → TD7Drive 7: own 20 → Missed FG9Drive 9: own 3 → Missed FG12Drive 12: own 25 → TD14Drive 14: own 39 → TD16Drive 16: own 25 → Punt18Drive 18: opp 41 → TD20Drive 20: own 25 → Punt22Drive 22: own 25 → Punt24Drive 24: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Arkansas drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 31Q1 14:43836Punt2.20-2.2
3own 25Q1 6:56710Punt1.90-1.9
5own 44Q1 3:051258TD2.77+4.3
7own 20Q2 11:531156Missed FG1.70-1.7
9own 3Q2 3:491695Missed FG1.10-1.1
12own 25Q3 13:371170TD1.97+5.1
14own 39Q3 6:39261TD2.48+5.6
16own 25Q3 4:42712Punt1.90-1.9
18opp 41Q3 2:141031TD3.07+4.0
20own 25Q4 10:10517Punt1.90-1.9
22own 25Q4 5:00511Punt1.90-1.9
24own 25Q4 0:348-22End of half1.90-1.9
12 drives7943324.535+10.5

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.