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Mississippi State27atMissouri49

2025 · Week 12

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-18.3-9.10+9.1+18.3Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -1.2-1.2Missouri — Off. field pos.: +15.9+15.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: -0.8-0.8Missouri — Off. scoring eff.: +8.3+8.3Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: -15.9-15.9Missouri — Def. field pos.: +1.2+1.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: -8.3-8.3Missouri — Def. scoring eff.: +0.8+0.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Mississippi State — Possessions: +4.1+4.1Missouri — Possessions: -4.1-4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Mississippi StateMissouriBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02754Q1Q2Q3FinalMississippi State 27Missouri 49
Mississippi StateMissourihover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Mississippi StateMissouri
Total yards345438
Rushing yards110326
Rushing attempts5239
Yds / rush2.18.4
Passing yards235112
Passing attempts3816
Yds / pass6.27.0
First downs2717
Turnovers32
Penalties711
Penalty yards4574
Sacks25
Time of possession36:4223:18

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)50% / 50%35%5.0
Q2(19)37% / 63%21%2.2
Q3(26)50% / 50%54%4.8
Q4(24)54% / 46%42%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 57th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.550%3.6
2nd(12)9.342%7.8
3rd(11)9.327%4.7
4th(2)4.050%0.0
All (43)—42%5.0
Rushing by down(offense 29th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(21)9.133%3.2
2nd(18)6.833%2.5
3rd(7)5.457%5.6
All (46)—37%3.3
Missouri
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(9)44% / 56%67%15.6
Q2(21)43% / 57%43%4.6
Q3(14)29% / 71%50%8.4
Q4(11)18% / 82%36%7.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 68th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(7)10.071%8.7
2nd(4)9.825%-4.0
3rd(8)8.025%5.1
All (19)—42%5.0
Rushing by down(offense 19th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.244%6.0
2nd(15)6.647%12.6
3rd(3)5.3100%14.3
All (36)—50%9.4

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 35 → TD4Drive 4: own 25 → TD6Drive 6: own 25 → Turnover8Drive 8: opp 23 → TD10Drive 10: own 26 → Missed FG12Drive 12: own 25 → Turnover14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 24 → TD19Drive 19: own 25 → Punt21Drive 21: own 35 → Punt24Drive 24: opp 43 → TD26Drive 26: own 25 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Missouri drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 35Q1 13:19565TD2.37+4.7
4own 25Q1 6:19475TD1.97+5.1
6own 25Q2 14:50648Turnover1.90-1.9
8opp 23Q2 4:45718TD3.97+3.1
10own 26Q2 2:001138Missed FG2.00-2.0
12own 25Q3 14:54319Turnover1.90-1.9
14own 25Q3 10:20719Punt1.90-1.9
16own 24Q3 6:28276TD1.97+5.1
19own 25Q3 2:3946Punt1.90-1.9
21own 35Q3 0:0555Punt2.30-2.3
24opp 43Q4 11:11143TD2.97+4.1
26own 25Q4 5:121030End of half1.90-1.9
12 drives6043826.749+22.3

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.