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Ole Miss38atMississippi State19

2025 · Week 14

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-15.6-7.80+7.8+15.6Ole Miss — Off. field pos.: -0.3-0.3Mississippi State — Off. field pos.: -4.4-4.4Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Off. scoring eff.: +13.5+13.5Mississippi State — Off. scoring eff.: -1.4-1.4Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Def. field pos.: +4.4+4.4Mississippi State — Def. field pos.: +0.3+0.3Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Def. scoring eff.: +1.4+1.4Mississippi State — Def. scoring eff.: -13.5-13.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Ole Miss — Possessions: 0.00.0Mississippi State — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Ole MissMississippi StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02142Q1Q2Q3FinalOle Miss 38Mississippi State 19
Ole MissMississippi Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Ole MissMississippi State
Total yards545440
Rushing yards186262
Rushing attempts4143
Yds / rush4.56.1
Passing yards359178
Passing attempts3431
Yds / pass10.65.7
First downs2922
Turnovers01
Penalties56
Penalty yards5067
Sacks30
Time of possession31:2328:37

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Ole Miss
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(20)35% / 65%50%9.6
Q2(26)73% / 27%35%4.7
Q3(14)29% / 71%43%5.1
Q4(16)31% / 69%38%10.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 7th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.057%7.9
2nd(12)8.850%14.0
3rd(8)6.850%10.5
4th(1)5.00%0.0
All (35)51%10.4
Rushing by down(offense 18th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(22)10.223%2.8
2nd(14)6.943%6.4
3rd(4)9.825%6.5
4th(1)2.0100%9.0
All (41)32%4.5
Mississippi State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)31% / 69%50%7.0
Q2(17)35% / 65%29%7.6
Q3(16)44% / 56%31%4.8
Q4(24)67% / 33%33%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 57th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.042%5.9
2nd(12)10.325%5.6
3rd(9)7.722%3.9
4th(1)9.00%0.0
All (34)29%5.1
Rushing by down(offense 29th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)10.022%4.3
2nd(12)7.742%8.4
3rd(8)5.488%12.6
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (39)41%7.2

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 3 → TD4Drive 4: own 25 → Punt6Drive 6: own 20 → Turnover8Drive 8: own 12 → Punt10Drive 10: own 14 → Punt12Drive 12: own 20 → FG14Drive 14: own 25 → End of half15Drive 15: own 25 → FG17Drive 17: own 25 → Punt19Drive 19: own 25 → TD21Drive 21: own 25 → Downs23Drive 23: own 13 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Mississippi State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 3Q1 12:581097TD1.17+5.9
4own 25Q1 5:16715Punt1.90-1.9
6own 20Q2 13:59341Turnover1.70-1.7
8own 12Q2 12:38510Punt1.50-1.5
10own 14Q2 9:43618Punt1.50-1.5
12own 20Q2 2:58658FG1.73+1.3
14own 25Q2 0:122-5End of half1.90-1.9
15own 25Q3 14:551257FG1.93+1.1
17own 25Q3 6:35720Punt1.90-1.9
19own 25Q4 13:38975TD1.96+4.1
21own 25Q4 9:45723Downs1.90-1.9
23own 13Q4 2:42938Downs1.50-1.5
12 drives7444020.419-1.4

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.