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Buffalo10atMinnesota23

2025 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-10.6-5.30+5.3+10.6Buffalo — Off. field pos.: -1.4-1.4Minnesota — Off. field pos.: +2.1+2.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Off. scoring eff.: -9.3-9.3Minnesota — Off. scoring eff.: -1.8-1.8Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. field pos.: -2.1-2.1Minnesota — Def. field pos.: +1.4+1.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Def. scoring eff.: +1.8+1.8Minnesota — Def. scoring eff.: +9.3+9.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Buffalo — Possessions: -2.1-2.1Minnesota — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
BuffaloMinnesotaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01325Q1Q2Q3FinalBuffalo 10Minnesota 23
BuffaloMinnesotahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

BuffaloMinnesota
Total yards151443
Rushing yards44153
Rushing attempts2444
Yds / rush1.83.5
Passing yards107290
Passing attempts2035
Yds / pass5.38.3
First downs827
Turnovers11
Penalties42
Penalty yards4510
Sacks22
Time of possession21:3238:28

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Buffalo
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(8)50% / 50%13%0.9
Q2(17)41% / 59%29%4.2
Q3(12)50% / 50%50%6.8
Q4(6)67% / 33%0%0.7
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 122nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.056%8.1
2nd(6)7.833%4.7
3rd(6)7.80%1.5
All (21)—33%5.2
Rushing by down(offense 130th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(8)10.013%1.8
2nd(9)8.022%3.6
3rd(4)4.025%1.5
4th(1)1.0100%2.0
All (22)—23%2.5
Minnesota
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(18)39% / 61%44%5.2
Q2(21)76% / 24%57%6.5
Q3(16)63% / 38%38%6.8
Q4(23)17% / 83%43%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 63rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(18)9.956%10.3
2nd(9)8.956%5.0
3rd(10)7.370%8.6
All (37)—59%8.5
Rushing by down(offense 101st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.019%3.3
2nd(17)7.029%4.9
3rd(6)2.883%5.0
4th(2)1.050%1.5
All (41)—34%4.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 35 → Punt4Drive 4: opp 46 → Downs6Drive 6: 50 → TD8Drive 8: own 19 → Turnover10Drive 10: own 25 → Punt12Drive 12: own 30 → FG13Drive 13: own 30 → FG15Drive 15: own 25 → Punt17Drive 17: own 47 → FG19Drive 19: own 40 → TD21Drive 21: own 27 → End of halfown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Minnesota drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 35Q1 12:51630Punt2.30-2.3
4opp 46Q1 8:44836Downs2.90-2.9
650Q1 3:08955TD2.77+4.3
8own 19Q2 12:21696Turnover1.70-1.7
10own 25Q2 7:49626Punt1.90-1.9
12own 30Q2 1:061635FG2.23+0.8
13own 30Q3 14:57959FG2.23+0.8
15own 25Q3 6:32627Punt1.90-1.9
17own 47Q3 2:121246FG2.73+0.3
19own 40Q4 10:52160TD2.57+4.5
21own 27Q4 9:392258End of half2.00-2.0
11 drives8144324.823-1.8

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.