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Illinois45atDuke19

2025 · Week 2

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-20.4-10.20+10.2+20.4Illinois — Off. field pos.: +2.4+2.4Duke — Off. field pos.: -1.9-1.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Off. scoring eff.: +17.8+17.8Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +0.2+0.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Def. field pos.: +1.9+1.9Duke — Def. field pos.: -2.4-2.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Def. scoring eff.: -0.2-0.2Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -17.8-17.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Illinois — Possessions: +4.1+4.1Duke — Possessions: -4.1-4.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
IllinoisDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalIllinois 45Duke 19
IllinoisDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

IllinoisDuke
Total yards419438
Rushing yards12382
Rushing attempts4224
Yds / rush2.93.4
Passing yards296356
Passing attempts3139
Yds / pass9.59.1
First downs2521
Turnovers05
Penalties76
Penalty yards5169
Sacks24
Time of possession36:1223:48

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Illinois
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)60% / 40%27%2.3
Q2(19)58% / 42%37%5.1
Q3(22)55% / 45%45%8.8
Q4(17)18% / 82%53%6.4
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 16th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)9.450%10.4
2nd(14)10.143%6.6
3rd(11)9.045%7.7
All (35)—46%8.1
Rushing by down(offense 21st on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(24)9.829%4.0
2nd(10)6.050%5.2
3rd(2)7.00%-0.5
4th(2)1.0100%2.5
All (38)—37%4.0
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(16)44% / 56%63%5.6
Q2(21)76% / 24%38%7.2
Q3(10)60% / 40%60%8.7
Q4(15)73% / 27%33%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.144%9.3
2nd(15)7.753%10.1
3rd(7)4.943%4.1
4th(2)5.550%3.0
All (40)—48%8.3
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.046%4.6
2nd(6)5.550%4.2
3rd(3)4.333%1.3
All (22)—45%4.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → FG3Drive 3: own 20 → Punt6Drive 6: own 25 → FG8Drive 8: own 25 → —10Drive 10: own 23 → TD13Drive 13: own 25 → Turnover15Drive 15: own 25 → TD17Drive 17: own 25 → Turnover19Drive 19: own 25 → —21Drive 21: own 25 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:551037FG1.93+1.1
3own 20Q1 7:5848Punt1.70-1.7
6own 25Q1 1:451867FG1.93+1.1
8own 25Q2 4:50457—1.90-1.9
10own 23Q2 1:061171TD1.87+5.2
13own 25Q3 9:30412Turnover1.90-1.9
15own 25Q3 6:42775TD1.96+4.1
17own 25Q4 13:57745Turnover1.90-1.9
19own 25Q4 4:041-2—1.90-1.9
21own 25Q4 3:45743Downs1.90-1.9
10 drives6743818.819+0.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Illinois at Duke — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ