FanBoardHQ

Penn State28atMichigan State10

2025 · Week 12

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-14.6-7.30+7.3+14.6Penn State — Off. field pos.: +0.2+0.2Michigan State — Off. field pos.: -0.1-0.1Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Off. scoring eff.: +3.0+3.0Michigan State — Off. scoring eff.: -12.7-12.7Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Def. field pos.: +0.1+0.1Michigan State — Def. field pos.: -0.2-0.2Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Def. scoring eff.: +12.7+12.7Michigan State — Def. scoring eff.: -3.0-3.0Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Penn State — Possessions: +2.1+2.1Michigan State — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
Penn StateMichigan StateBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01631Q1Q2Q3FinalPenn State 28Michigan State 10
Penn StateMichigan Statehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

Penn StateMichigan State
Total yards367229
Rushing yards240101
Rushing attempts5022
Yds / rush4.84.6
Passing yards127128
Passing attempts1327
Yds / pass9.84.7
First downs1913
Turnovers01
Penalties42
Penalty yards4520
Sacks52
Time of possession37:1922:41

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Penn State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)32% / 68%53%5.0
Q2(14)43% / 57%36%7.1
Q3(11)18% / 82%45%4.2
Q4(18)6% / 94%67%7.9
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 23rd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(5)10.080%21.8
2nd(5)5.820%1.4
3rd(3)7.033%0.3
4th(2)2.050%2.0
All (15)47%8.1
Rushing by down(offense 40th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)10.057%6.4
2nd(16)5.363%6.5
3rd(6)3.017%1.5
4th(2)1.050%1.0
All (47)53%5.6
Michigan State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(8)38% / 63%25%8.8
Q2(14)71% / 29%21%5.6
Q3(14)50% / 50%50%4.1
Q4(12)92% / 8%42%-0.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 64th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(9)10.022%-1.8
2nd(13)7.838%3.5
3rd(7)7.314%5.1
4th(2)10.50%-2.5
All (31)26%2.0
Rushing by down(offense 59th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)9.867%10.7
2nd(2)3.050%3.5
3rd(3)12.00%0.7
All (17)53%8.1

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 43 → TD4Drive 4: own 25 → Punt6Drive 6: opp 45 → Downs8Drive 8: own 42 → FG10Drive 10: own 25 → Punt12Drive 12: own 28 → Punt14Drive 14: own 25 → Punt16Drive 16: own 22 → Punt18Drive 18: own 4 → Punt20Drive 20: own 25 → —22Drive 22: own 25 → Downsown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Michigan State drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 43Q1 12:46257TD2.77+4.3
4own 25Q1 5:5056Punt1.90-1.9
6opp 45Q1 3:1947Downs2.90-2.9
8own 42Q2 13:271052FG2.63+0.4
10own 25Q2 8:3057Punt1.90-1.9
12own 28Q2 2:00520Punt2.00-2.0
14own 25Q3 15:00726Punt1.90-1.9
16own 22Q3 9:1553Punt1.80-1.8
18own 4Q3 4:021227Punt1.20-1.2
20own 25Q4 4:327-201.90-1.9
22own 25Q4 2:07813Downs1.90-1.9
11 drives5122922.710-12.7

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.