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North Carolina18atCalifornia21

2025 · Week 8

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-6.2-3.10+3.1+6.2North Carolina — Off. field pos.: +0.7+0.7California — Off. field pos.: -2.6-2.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: -5.4-5.4California — Off. scoring eff.: -1.2-1.2Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. field pos.: +2.6+2.6California — Def. field pos.: -0.7-0.7Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: +1.2+1.2California — Def. scoring eff.: +5.4+5.4Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.North Carolina — Possessions: -2.1-2.1California — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
North CarolinaCaliforniaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

01223Q1Q2Q3FinalNorth Carolina 18California 21
North CarolinaCaliforniahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

North CarolinaCalifornia
Total yards287294
Rushing yards12080
Rushing attempts2931
Yds / rush4.12.6
Passing yards167214
Passing attempts3540
Yds / pass4.85.3
First downs1819
Turnovers30
Penalties49
Penalty yards4679
Sacks21
Time of possession31:1028:50

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(11)55% / 45%36%7.8
Q2(22)59% / 41%18%2.7
Q3(11)55% / 45%45%6.9
Q4(18)50% / 50%39%4.0
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 84th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)11.017%3.1
2nd(11)9.527%7.3
3rd(10)7.030%4.6
4th(1)2.0100%9.0
All (34)—26%5.1
Rushing by down(offense 126th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.044%5.3
2nd(7)8.914%3.0
3rd(4)4.550%3.8
4th(1)1.0100%1.0
All (28)—39%4.3
California
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(25)60% / 40%48%5.2
Q2(17)65% / 35%24%2.6
Q3(18)67% / 33%44%5.2
Q4(11)36% / 64%27%3.5
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 39th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)10.030%2.7
2nd(19)7.837%3.6
3rd(12)8.942%7.3
4th(1)1.0100%15.0
All (42)—38%4.7
Rushing by down(offense 96th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.237%3.8
2nd(5)8.240%2.4
3rd(4)5.325%2.5
4th(1)1.0100%14.0
All (29)—38%3.7

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: opp 25 → TD4Drive 4: own 10 → Punt6Drive 6: own 13 → Punt8Drive 8: own 25 → TD10Drive 10: own 24 → Punt12Drive 12: own 25 → Punt14Drive 14: own 9 → Punt16Drive 16: own 15 → End of half17Drive 17: own 21 → TD19Drive 19: own 11 → Punt21Drive 21: own 25 → Punt23Drive 23: own 20 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
California drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2opp 25Q1 14:38425TD3.87+3.2
4own 10Q1 10:4342Punt1.40-1.4
6own 13Q1 8:21828Punt1.50-1.5
8own 25Q1 4:481375TD1.97+5.1
10own 24Q2 13:35512Punt1.90-1.9
12own 25Q2 6:141036Punt1.90-1.9
14own 9Q2 1:2341Punt1.40-1.4
16own 15Q2 0:243-4End of half1.50-1.5
17own 21Q3 14:541365TD1.77+5.3
19own 11Q3 4:56828Punt1.40-1.4
21own 25Q4 12:1456Punt1.90-1.9
23own 20Q4 3:481432Punt1.70-1.7
12 drives7229422.221-1.2

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.