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TCU48atNorth Carolina14

2025 · Week 1

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-16-80+8+16TCU — Off. field pos.: +13.9+13.9North Carolina — Off. field pos.: -0.6-0.6Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.TCU — Off. scoring eff.: +13.5+13.5North Carolina — Off. scoring eff.: -8.1-8.1Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.TCU — Def. field pos.: +0.6+0.6North Carolina — Def. field pos.: -13.9-13.9Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.TCU — Def. scoring eff.: +8.1+8.1North Carolina — Def. scoring eff.: -13.5-13.5Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.TCU — Possessions: -2.1-2.1North Carolina — Possessions: +2.1+2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
TCUNorth CarolinaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02753Q1Q2Q3FinalTCU 48North Carolina 14
TCUNorth Carolinahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

TCUNorth Carolina
Total yards542222
Rushing yards25850
Rushing attempts3528
Yds / rush7.41.8
Passing yards284172
Passing attempts3721
Yds / pass7.78.2
First downs2910
Turnovers13
Penalties53
Penalty yards5825
Sacks20
Time of possession32:0927:51

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

TCU
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(15)60% / 40%47%5.2
Q2(26)62% / 38%62%6.8
Q3(11)64% / 36%64%15.6
Q4(20)25% / 75%60%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 22nd on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(17)10.953%7.5
2nd(11)8.373%9.8
3rd(9)8.844%6.1
All (37)57%7.9
Rushing by down(offense 66th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.458%10.6
2nd(12)5.950%3.7
3rd(3)1.7100%2.7
4th(1)4.0100%4.0
All (35)60%7.4
North Carolina
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)31% / 69%46%5.9
Q2(11)27% / 73%18%2.6
Q3(18)72% / 28%39%7.7
Q4(6)50% / 50%33%3.8
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 84th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(10)9.750%8.0
2nd(6)8.750%9.7
3rd(7)9.143%10.5
All (23)48%9.1
Rushing by down(offense 126th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(11)10.018%2.5
2nd(10)8.130%2.7
3rd(3)13.30%1.7
4th(1)2.0100%3.0
All (25)24%2.5

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 17 → TD3Drive 3: own 30 → Punt5Drive 5: own 25 → Punt7Drive 7: own 22 → Punt9Drive 9: own 19 → Def. TD10Drive 10: own 35 → Punt13Drive 13: own 29 → Punt15Drive 15: own 31 → Def. TD16Drive 16: own 20 → TD18Drive 18: opp 49 → Turnover20Drive 20: own 25 → Puntown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
North Carolina drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 17Q1 14:45783TD1.67+5.4
3own 30Q1 8:505-6Punt2.20-2.2
5own 25Q1 4:0540Punt1.90-1.9
7own 22Q2 11:0341Punt1.80-1.8
9own 19Q2 5:10331Def. TD(−7 opp)1.70-1.7
10own 35Q2 3:45619Punt2.30-2.3
13own 29Q3 14:2945Punt2.10-2.1
15own 31Q3 8:19548Def. TD(−7 opp)2.20-2.2
16own 20Q3 6:451285TD1.77+5.3
18opp 49Q4 13:50425Turnover2.80-2.8
20own 25Q4 9:104-2Punt1.90-1.9
11 drives4922222.114-8.1

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.