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NC State33atDuke45

2025 · Week 4

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-17.1-8.50+8.5+17.1NC State — Off. field pos.: -2.0-2.0Duke — Off. field pos.: +5.3+5.3Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.NC State — Off. scoring eff.: +10.3+10.3Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +14.9+14.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.NC State — Def. field pos.: -5.3-5.3Duke — Def. field pos.: +2.0+2.0Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.NC State — Def. scoring eff.: -14.9-14.9Duke — Def. scoring eff.: -10.3-10.3Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.NC State — Possessions: 0.00.0Duke — Possessions: 0.00.0PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
NC StateDukeBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalNC State 33Duke 45
NC StateDukehover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

NC StateDuke
Total yards535418
Rushing yards171149
Rushing attempts3535
Yds / rush4.94.3
Passing yards364269
Passing attempts3928
Yds / pass9.39.6
First downs2622
Turnovers40
Penalties68
Penalty yards49103
Sacks32
Time of possession32:2927:31

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

NC State
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(19)53% / 47%63%10.3
Q2(17)53% / 47%47%6.1
Q3(13)62% / 38%31%9.2
Q4(22)59% / 41%50%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 29th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(12)10.058%5.4
2nd(15)9.647%8.6
3rd(10)7.650%15.1
4th(3)5.033%0.0
All (40)—50%9.1
Rushing by down(offense 28th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(20)8.735%4.2
2nd(8)4.963%10.3
3rd(2)1.0100%2.5
4th(1)1.0100%4.0
All (31)—48%5.6
Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(13)46% / 54%38%4.8
Q2(18)50% / 50%56%4.8
Q3(20)65% / 35%50%9.7
Q4(12)25% / 75%33%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)10.056%8.3
2nd(5)8.440%7.2
3rd(8)8.938%3.8
4th(2)2.5100%29.0
All (31)—52%8.3
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)9.531%3.4
2nd(15)6.347%3.3
3rd(4)4.550%17.0
All (32)—41%5.0

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

2Drive 2: own 30 → TD4Drive 4: opp 45 → Punt6Drive 6: own 25 → Punt8Drive 8: own 28 → TD10Drive 10: opp 2 → TD12Drive 12: own 25 → TD14Drive 14: own 25 → TD16Drive 16: own 8 → Punt18Drive 18: own 37 → FG20Drive 20: opp 33 → Punt22Drive 22: own 25 → TD24Drive 24: own 37 → —own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Duke drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
2own 30Q1 13:571165TD2.27+4.8
4opp 45Q1 10:035-2Punt2.90-2.9
6own 25Q2 14:09812Punt1.90-1.9
8own 28Q2 5:341072TD2.07+5.0
10opp 2Q2 0:3552TD5.77+1.3
12own 25Q3 14:52475TD1.97+5.1
14own 25Q3 11:47975TD1.97+5.1
16own 8Q3 5:1464Punt1.40-1.4
18own 37Q3 2:02937FG2.33+0.7
20opp 33Q4 13:174-10Punt3.70-3.7
22own 25Q4 3:56375TD1.97+5.1
24own 37Q4 1:19713—2.30-2.3
12 drives6541830.145+14.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.