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Duke45atCalifornia21

2025 · Week 6

Efficiency

Game-level Efficiency Breakdown

-14.7-7.40+7.4+14.7Duke — Off. field pos.: +5.4+5.4California — Off. field pos.: -2.9-2.9Off. field pos.Points this side's offense added or cost purely from where its drives started, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Off. scoring eff.: +12.8+12.8California — Off. scoring eff.: -0.9-0.9Off. scoring eff.Points this side's offense added or cost finishing drives (given where they started), vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. field pos.: +2.9+2.9California — Def. field pos.: -5.4-5.4Def. field pos.Points this side's defense saved or gave up in starting field position allowed, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Def. scoring eff.: +0.9+0.9California — Def. scoring eff.: -12.8-12.8Def. scoring eff.Points this side's defense saved or gave up letting the opponent finish drives, vs. a league-average FBS team.Duke — Possessions: +2.1+2.1California — Possessions: -2.1-2.1PossessionsValue of having more or fewer real possessions than the opponent this game (onside kicks, half-opening/closing clock timing, etc.) — not offense or defense skill.
DukeCaliforniaBreaks the final margin of victory down into where it came from, compared to what an average FBS team would do in an average game — the five bars per team always add up to the real final margin. Click a bar for detail.

Running score

02550Q1Q2Q3FinalDuke 45California 21
DukeCaliforniahover for any point, click for the by-quarter breakdown

Box score

DukeCalifornia
Total yards443286
Rushing yards17841
Rushing attempts3729
Yds / rush4.81.4
Passing yards265245
Passing attempts3032
Yds / pass8.87.7
First downs2420
Turnovers04
Penalties76
Penalty yards6343
Sacks62
Time of possession31:0328:57

Passing & rushing

What each offense did this game.

Duke
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(12)67% / 33%50%5.7
Q2(24)50% / 50%58%8.3
Q3(12)58% / 42%17%1.7
Q4(19)26% / 74%47%7.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 30th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)10.550%7.2
2nd(10)7.060%10.0
3rd(8)7.838%4.5
All (32)—50%7.4
Rushing by down(offense 48th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(19)9.537%4.7
2nd(12)8.342%7.8
3rd(3)3.367%0.7
4th(1)8.0100%11.0
All (35)—43%5.6
California
By quarterPass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(21)67% / 33%62%7.9
Q2(14)57% / 43%29%3.1
Q3(16)56% / 44%25%3.9
Q4(10)70% / 30%30%3.6
how play-calling and results shifted through the game — (n) = plays
Passing by down(offense 39th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(13)10.838%5.7
2nd(15)10.753%7.7
3rd(10)10.040%4.4
All (38)—45%6.2
Rushing by down(offense 96th on the season)
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(16)9.225%3.6
2nd(6)6.833%3.3
3rd(1)3.0100%4.0
All (23)—30%3.6

Drive-by-drive — expected vs. actual points, each possession

1Drive 1: own 25 → TD3Drive 3: own 45 → TD5Drive 5: own 20 → TD7Drive 7: own 25 → Turnover9Drive 9: own 25 → Punt11Drive 11: own 25 → Punt14Drive 14: own 8 → Turnover16Drive 16: own 15 → Punt18Drive 18: own 20 → Punt20Drive 20: own 16 → Punt22Drive 22: own 25 → Turnover24Drive 24: own 21 → Turnoverown 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
California drives by field position

Each bar is a drive, from where it started to where it ended. Green = scored, red = turnover/downs/safety.

#StartTimePlaysYdsResultExpPts+/−
1own 25Q1 14:551475TD1.97+5.1
3own 45Q1 7:20665TD2.77+4.3
5own 20Q1 2:301469TD1.77+5.3
7own 25Q2 7:38273Turnover1.90-1.9
9own 25Q2 5:455-17Punt1.90-1.9
11own 25Q2 1:065-15Punt1.90-1.9
14own 8Q3 13:16738Turnover1.40-1.4
16own 15Q3 8:254-6Punt1.50-1.5
18own 20Q3 4:50826Punt1.70-1.7
20own 16Q4 13:3846Punt1.60-1.6
22own 25Q4 8:15428Turnover1.90-1.9
24own 21Q4 5:4030Turnover1.70-1.7
12 drives6328621.921-0.9

Exp = points an average offense scores from that starting spot. +/− = actual minus expected.

Duke at California — 2025 game breakdown · FanBoardHQ